{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9e147678-4329-4fbf-9e5e-6dbec045d045",
    "symbol": "AIG",
    "name": "American International Group, Inc.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.016,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 57.689,
    "architecture_energy": 43.32,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.177,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.204,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.85,
        "rotation_up": 57.59,
        "upward_expansion": 76.29,
        "deceleration": 60.26,
        "rotation_down": 15.71,
        "downward_expansion": 5.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        68.736001,
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        67.058036,
        66.52514
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 67.68,
    "trend_reference": 65.70759,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030018,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 65.605277,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.031624,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -17.453467,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.049866,
    "excess_performance": -0.12438,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030018,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003231,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031624,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022538,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174535,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017334,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.049866,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033696,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.153628,
      "from_high_reference": -0.078242,
      "from_low_reference": 0.12177
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 65.70759,
      "fair_value_reference": 65.605277,
      "structural_low": 62.179331,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 27,
        "median_return": 0.010652,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000691,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.100866,
        "worst_return": -0.084374,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.053475,
        "regime_survival": 0.636364,
        "best_return": 0.11856,
        "worst_return": -0.055853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.060765,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.047172,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.383114,
        "energy": 43.063888,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 64.699844,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 10.85,
        "trend": 66.085374,
        "fair_value": 64.117251,
        "relative_strength": -19.18686,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.672596,
        "energy": 34.959938,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 10.85,
        "trend": 66.058737,
        "fair_value": 64.238636,
        "relative_strength": -17.526369,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.130925,
        "energy": 39.56414,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 66.624962,
        "volume": 110,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 66.040895,
        "fair_value": 64.366058,
        "relative_strength": -16.945213,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.534335,
        "energy": 12.89422,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 63.866291,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 65.92057,
        "fair_value": 64.466861,
        "relative_strength": -21.871679,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.986246,
        "energy": 17.258863,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 64.402153,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 65.882595,
        "fair_value": 64.567524,
        "relative_strength": -19.674332,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -36.890694,
        "energy": 15.571134,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 64.68,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 65.834469,
        "fair_value": 64.669011,
        "relative_strength": -20.843485,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.017111,
        "energy": 17.915126,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 64.480003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 65.80534,
        "fair_value": 64.777014,
        "relative_strength": -23.561996,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.629155,
        "energy": 30.699026,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.578935,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 67.040001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 65.867468,
        "fair_value": 64.890629,
        "relative_strength": -18.334555,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.473235,
        "energy": 6.479127,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.322041,
          65.100181,
          65.143775,
          65.257428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 69.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.35,
        "trend": 66.003326,
        "fair_value": 65.016973,
        "relative_strength": -16.875638,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 42.813081,
        "energy": 47.960829,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.824145,
          65.929915,
          65.527123,
          65.485333
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 68.959999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.15,
        "trend": 65.942568,
        "fair_value": 65.151895,
        "relative_strength": -15.775937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.037264,
        "energy": 59.449631,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.810667,
          66.591306,
          65.84696,
          65.676086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 70.720001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.15,
        "trend": 65.852404,
        "fair_value": 65.280102,
        "relative_strength": -11.443043,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.544303,
        "energy": 79.871001,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.080001,
          67.460236,
          66.326635,
          65.984308
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.440002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.15,
        "trend": 65.733148,
        "fair_value": 65.399504,
        "relative_strength": -13.76714,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.544397,
        "energy": 76.385465,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.520001,
          67.986983,
          66.668244,
          66.215766
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 68.480003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.15,
        "trend": 65.631558,
        "fair_value": 65.503755,
        "relative_strength": -14.456837,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.703208,
        "energy": 67.960688,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.309335,
          68.263103,
          66.905378,
          66.392982
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 67.68,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 10.05,
        "trend": 65.70759,
        "fair_value": 65.605277,
        "relative_strength": -17.453467,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.68902,
        "energy": 43.320377,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.736001,
          68.36004,
          67.058036,
          66.52514
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}