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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.551, "architecture_energy": 40.666, "architecture_maturity": 45.008, "architecture_confidence": 76.327, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.09, "rotation_up": 51.03, "upward_expansion": 78.61, "deceleration": 66.32, "rotation_down": 22.83, "downward_expansion": 5.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 287.418671, 286.551904, 277.123002, 269.674245 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 282.540009, "trend_reference": 261.379484, "distance_from_trend": 0.080957, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 214.388686, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.317887, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.813666, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.11335, "excess_performance": 0.170399, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080957, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056495, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.317887, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093089, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.078137, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193583, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.11335, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.712996, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34, "relative_activity": 0.033836, "balance": 1.712996, "dry_up": 0.301538, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06497, "annualized_volatility": 0.291675, "from_high_reference": -0.077812, "from_low_reference": 0.305825 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 261.379484, "fair_value_reference": 214.388686, "structural_low": 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285.228308, 276.770703, 265.001276, 260.228623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 279.549988, "volume": 426, "typical_volume": 4676.65, "trend": 256.312278, "fair_value": 210.359344, "relative_strength": 3.506205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.7427, "energy": 50.6529, "activity_lines": [ 283.279325, 278.736543, 267.027558, 261.806127 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 289.850006, "volume": 456, "typical_volume": 4688.3, "trend": 257.591654, "fair_value": 211.362285, "relative_strength": 9.865037, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.83899, "energy": 53.431981, "activity_lines": [ 285.981329, 282.006657, 269.930308, 263.969851 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 289.429993, "volume": 553, "typical_volume": 4694.0, "trend": 258.609034, "fair_value": 212.371179, "relative_strength": 9.525535, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.299466, "energy": 49.105611, "activity_lines": [ 287.753329, 284.417407, 272.637646, 266.023937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 292.76001, "volume": 169, "typical_volume": 1054.9, "trend": 260.111216, "fair_value": 213.418828, "relative_strength": 8.30589, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.649371, "energy": 47.011403, "activity_lines": [ 289.302, 286.739876, 275.476762, 268.227226 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 282.540009, "volume": 34, "typical_volume": 1004.85, "trend": 261.379484, "fair_value": 214.388686, "relative_strength": 7.813666, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.550602, "energy": 40.665756, "activity_lines": [ 287.418671, 286.551904, 277.123002, 269.674245 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }