{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e1fa5d5-d552-4878-86cc-d30d3bcf4129", "symbol": "300328", "name": "Dongguan Eontec Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.745, "architecture_energy": 60.292, "architecture_maturity": 18.153, "architecture_confidence": 81.941, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.21, "rotation_up": 11.37, "upward_expansion": 11.41, "deceleration": 41.77, "rotation_down": 68.53, "downward_expansion": 84.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.582, 13.496, 15.405381, 16.069656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 14.63, "trend_reference": 16.756667, "distance_from_trend": -0.126915, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.486538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.395122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.686186, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107382, "excess_performance": -0.114782, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.126915, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027434, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.395122, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.489886, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.146862, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124507, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107382, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.884488, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 221091318, "relative_activity": 1.163916, "balance": 0.884488, "dry_up": 1.077622, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201325, "annualized_volatility": 0.863413, "from_high_reference": -0.377976, "from_low_reference": 0.585049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.756667, "fair_value_reference": 10.486538, "structural_low": 9.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.001926, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.013883, "regime_survival": 0.6875, "best_return": 0.429516, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.072856, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.055216, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.523985, "worst_return": -0.143639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.010687, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.195113, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.506086, "worst_return": -0.121604, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.206142, "energy": 83.58489, "activity_lines": [ 13.022, 15.378909, 16.593524, 16.914753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.41, "volume": 156153300, "typical_volume": 191659300.1, "trend": 16.975333, "fair_value": 10.395289, "relative_strength": -37.031947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.433349, "energy": 85.414902, "activity_lines": [ 11.703333, 14.206909, 15.952, 16.479548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.83, "volume": 266713521, "typical_volume": 188314874.95, "trend": 16.838, "fair_value": 10.433895, "relative_strength": -21.162228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.949081, "energy": 79.097381, "activity_lines": [ 11.748667, 13.617455, 15.577095, 16.212108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.63, "volume": 221091318, "typical_volume": 189954656.0, "trend": 16.756667, "fair_value": 10.486538, "relative_strength": -14.686186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.744659, "energy": 60.291836, "activity_lines": [ 12.582, 13.496, 15.405381, 16.069656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }