{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e32a626-0f97-4793-bbda-03b9f249fa43", "symbol": "CLN", "name": "APAC Realty Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 92.82, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 44.804, "architecture_energy": 41.203, "architecture_maturity": 11.139, "architecture_confidence": 77.33, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.87, "rotation_up": 66.06, "upward_expansion": 39.35, "deceleration": 37.17, "rotation_down": 16.86, "downward_expansion": 19.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.584667, 0.569273, 0.565169, 0.566948 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.625, "trend_reference": 0.573045, "distance_from_trend": 0.090665, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.417223, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.497999, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.90111, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.08263, "excess_performance": -0.072205, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090665, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017902, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.497999, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067269, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.119011, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085326, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.08263, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.910235, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2251800, "relative_activity": 3.791675, "balance": 1.910235, "dry_up": 1.554018, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036308, "annualized_volatility": 0.242021, "from_high_reference": -0.190577, "from_low_reference": 0.204046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.573045, "fair_value_reference": 0.417223, "structural_low": 0.519083, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052252, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.017999, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.081966, "worst_return": -0.179584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.165913, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.094956, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.027344, "worst_return": -0.170701, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.115366, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.057386, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.058974, "worst_return": -0.171758, "sufficient": false }, { 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"modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.446644, "energy": 44.910684, "activity_lines": [ 0.549333, 0.552273, 0.560708, 0.56735 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.545, "volume": 321000, "typical_volume": 948140.0, "trend": 0.573498, "fair_value": 0.413111, "relative_strength": -20.13299, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.060218, "energy": 42.288733, "activity_lines": [ 0.547667, 0.550091, 0.558645, 0.565463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.55, "volume": 524800, "typical_volume": 690200.0, "trend": 0.572911, "fair_value": 0.414033, "relative_strength": -19.967269, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.541969, "energy": 43.595685, "activity_lines": [ 0.548, 0.549273, 0.55742, 0.563947 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.56, "volume": 392100, "typical_volume": 556305.0, "trend": 0.572658, "fair_value": 0.414863, "relative_strength": -19.61156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.386572, "energy": 23.961358, "activity_lines": [ 0.551667, 0.550818, 0.557369, 0.563114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.58, "volume": 522900, "typical_volume": 511985.0, "trend": 0.57291, "fair_value": 0.41591, "relative_strength": -17.319682, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.54451, "energy": 11.4237, "activity_lines": [ 0.562, 0.556182, 0.55919, 0.563587 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.625, "volume": 2251800, "typical_volume": 593880.0, "trend": 0.573045, "fair_value": 0.417223, "relative_strength": -11.90111, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.804092, "energy": 41.202845, "activity_lines": [ 0.584667, 0.569273, 0.565169, 0.566948 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }