{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9e4b4550-9087-4087-a126-2b1f2af3eec7",
    "symbol": "300316",
    "name": "Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 76.178,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.374,
    "architecture_energy": 64.865,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.58,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.851,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 33.02,
        "rotation_up": 8.27,
        "upward_expansion": 12.85,
        "deceleration": 38.53,
        "rotation_down": 72.66,
        "downward_expansion": 86.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.173999,
        43.943818,
        46.214409,
        46.560851
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 41.799999,
    "trend_reference": 46.821675,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.107251,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.880545,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133389,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.016671,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.058612,
    "excess_performance": -0.066012,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.107251,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071995,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133389,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.062503,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040167,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054163,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.058612,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.360357,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 71862433,
      "relative_activity": 0.556814,
      "balance": 1.360357,
      "dry_up": 0.764036,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.164942,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.720192,
      "from_high_reference": -0.364028,
      "from_low_reference": 0.509203
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 46.821675,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.880545,
      "structural_low": 35.5,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.071609,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.115561,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.071609,
        "worst_return": 0.071609,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.148273,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066139,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.148273,
        "worst_return": -0.148273,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.236717,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.362354,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.236717,
        "worst_return": 0.236717,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.161857,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.30817,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.161857,
        "worst_return": 0.161857,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-02-10",
        "end": "2023-08-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.096158,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.538443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.052794,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.128659,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.043135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.084342,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.28008,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.114572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.311757,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.027403,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.271248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": -0.232389,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.082902,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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      },
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 135903127.5,
        "trend": 46.638071,
        "fair_value": 37.174366,
        "relative_strength": -6.571139,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.799124,
        "energy": 31.783849,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 81402732,
        "typical_volume": 131777067.2,
        "trend": 46.65011,
        "fair_value": 37.004217,
        "relative_strength": -6.386463,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.199126,
        "energy": 49.468754,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.799999,
        "volume": 71862433,
        "typical_volume": 129059949.2,
        "trend": 46.821675,
        "fair_value": 36.880545,
        "relative_strength": -4.016671,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.374476,
        "energy": 64.865384,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}