{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e668962-c6cd-422c-b359-6447235c1fa1", "symbol": "SHAH", "name": "Shah Metacorp Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -68.853, "architecture_energy": 63.004, "architecture_maturity": 23.187, "architecture_confidence": 86.479, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.53, "rotation_up": 11.45, "upward_expansion": 12.43, "deceleration": 39.78, "rotation_down": 68.53, "downward_expansion": 85.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.115333, 4.313091, 4.62795, 4.727926 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.91, "trend_reference": 4.826221, "distance_from_trend": -0.189842, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.120555, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.051099, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.295316, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.200409, "excess_performance": -0.1567, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189842, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004811, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.051099, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.501771, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.132953, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.520429, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.200409, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.282979, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21133800, "relative_activity": 1.169033, "balance": 0.282979, "dry_up": 2.097028, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146085, "annualized_volatility": 0.432472, "from_high_reference": -0.335034, "from_low_reference": 0.26129 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.826221, "fair_value_reference": 4.120555, "structural_low": 3.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.030303, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.044915, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.674419, "worst_return": -0.149123, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.400697, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.310624, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.19149, "worst_return": -0.370614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.373206, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.238961, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.93617, "worst_return": -0.118421, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.099368, "energy": 51.231396, "activity_lines": [ 4.598667, 4.737998, 4.909219, 4.922715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.53, "volume": 9264234, "typical_volume": 12122209.8, "trend": 4.933554, "fair_value": 4.098312, "relative_strength": 1.931913, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.632001, "energy": 47.239021, "activity_lines": [ 4.576667, 4.665695, 4.870093, 4.895991 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.37, "volume": 55993647, "typical_volume": 14671419.45, "trend": 4.915221, "fair_value": 4.106773, "relative_strength": 0.35918, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.404044, "energy": 35.49662, "activity_lines": [ 4.514667, 4.587029, 4.817537, 4.859632 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.84, "volume": 65248739, "typical_volume": 17431023.45, "trend": 4.876221, "fair_value": 4.11344, "relative_strength": -14.06981, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.060512, "energy": 49.166497, "activity_lines": [ 4.295333, 4.432909, 4.717315, 4.790263 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.91, "volume": 21133800, "typical_volume": 18078011.55, "trend": 4.826221, "fair_value": 4.120555, "relative_strength": -13.295316, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.852599, "energy": 63.004219, "activity_lines": [ 4.115333, 4.313091, 4.62795, 4.727926 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }