{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e6a5f1d-af37-4ff4-9242-e8f61d4344d4", "symbol": "BBUC", "name": "Brookfield Business Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.043, "architecture_energy": 47.506, "architecture_maturity": 18.375, "architecture_confidence": 91.904, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.84, "rotation_up": 14.99, "upward_expansion": 7.76, "deceleration": 43.52, "rotation_down": 59.84, "downward_expansion": 81.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.149333, 30.716727, 31.605983, 32.035568 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.38, "trend_reference": 32.81551, "distance_from_trend": -0.104692, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.455859, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.110529, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.890204, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.191019, "excess_performance": -0.316644, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104692, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032698, "read": "Falling" 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28.135, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.042082, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.017012, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.263231, "worst_return": -0.065227, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.095416, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.056643, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.30669, "worst_return": -0.025892, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.270402, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.114091, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.27778, "worst_return": 0.263025, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-24", "close": 31.11, "volume": 1420853, "typical_volume": 1804417.7, "trend": 33.205249, "fair_value": 26.33124, "relative_strength": -13.958478, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.771362, "energy": 43.055442, "activity_lines": [ 31.084667, 31.551928, 32.130364, 32.498767 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.63, "volume": 1808774, "typical_volume": 1859913.5, "trend": 32.984331, "fair_value": 26.393884, "relative_strength": -18.692051, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.383608, "energy": 41.984538, "activity_lines": [ 30.606667, 31.121091, 31.87943, 32.268106 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.38, "volume": 1481374, "typical_volume": 1869155.05, "trend": 32.81551, "fair_value": 26.455859, "relative_strength": -21.890204, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.043191, "energy": 47.50554, "activity_lines": [ 30.149333, 30.716727, 31.605983, 32.035568 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }