{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9e6a61bf-1f0d-4c92-a3b2-12cecc44de52",
    "symbol": "EX04",
    "name": "iShares Public Limited Company - iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.868,
    "architecture_energy": 89.138,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.727,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.77,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.29,
        "rotation_up": 84.87,
        "upward_expansion": 98.97,
        "deceleration": 39.04,
        "rotation_down": 8.66,
        "downward_expansion": 20.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        12.319333,
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        11.849851
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 12.43,
    "trend_reference": 11.736454,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.059093,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.667236,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285786,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.698311,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.073093,
    "excess_performance": -0.101154,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059093,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03539,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.285786,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055027,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096983,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002332,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073093,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018531,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.14554,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005759,
      "from_low_reference": 0.232634
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 11.736454,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.667236,
      "structural_low": 10.958,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.009759,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.590909,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001742,
        "regime_survival": 0.795455,
        "best_return": 0.066683,
        "worst_return": -0.10168,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.9375,
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        "worst_return": -0.0317,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.067836,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.004928,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.004141,
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2023-11-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "direction": 53.902387,
        "energy": 34.20529,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 360.0,
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        "fair_value": 9.525638,
        "relative_strength": -12.47542,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 360.0,
        "trend": 11.570972,
        "fair_value": 9.553178,
        "relative_strength": -11.421843,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.314445,
        "energy": 64.460387,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 12.138,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 360.0,
        "trend": 11.611021,
        "fair_value": 9.580574,
        "relative_strength": -8.564744,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.116324,
        "energy": 75.44568,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.002133,
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          11.764272,
          11.713145
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 12.258,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 360.0,
        "trend": 11.654076,
        "fair_value": 9.608015,
        "relative_strength": -8.722756,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.102836,
        "energy": 82.717418,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.116267,
          11.968034,
          11.819453,
          11.754885
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.394,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 360.0,
        "trend": 11.697949,
        "fair_value": 9.637519,
        "relative_strength": -7.468534,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.698675,
        "energy": 86.80187,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.233467,
          12.062,
          11.88426,
          11.802622
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.43,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 360.0,
        "trend": 11.736454,
        "fair_value": 9.667236,
        "relative_strength": -9.698311,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.86758,
        "energy": 89.138399,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.319333,
          12.151661,
          11.948636,
          11.849851
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}