{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e751e4d-125e-4c2b-b68f-e0f3a655a80a", "symbol": "688118", "name": "Primeton Information Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.603, "architecture_energy": 54.936, "architecture_maturity": 61.399, "architecture_confidence": 89.36, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.6, "rotation_up": 25.49, "upward_expansion": 9.31, "deceleration": 59.76, "rotation_down": 51.58, "downward_expansion": 80.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.692667, 19.916364, 21.844227, 23.866402 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 21.1, "trend_reference": 26.543697, "distance_from_trend": -0.205084, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.460752, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100626, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.219749, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.366937, "excess_performance": -0.323733, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.205084, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061254, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.100626, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.309998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.212197, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.178315, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.366937, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.767894, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17625224, "relative_activity": 1.493275, "balance": 0.767894, "dry_up": 1.193456, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115928, "annualized_volatility": 0.549449, "from_high_reference": -0.480168, "from_low_reference": 0.263473 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.543697, "fair_value_reference": 23.460752, "structural_low": 16.700001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.029246, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.006503, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.452911, "worst_return": -0.333787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.068671, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.051183, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.825553, "worst_return": -0.252834, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.132466, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.088624, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.211302, "worst_return": -0.393465, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 26.831364, "fair_value": 23.571574, "relative_strength": -34.380509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.523008, "energy": 81.808992, "activity_lines": [ 18.784667, 19.973707, 22.53714, 24.653008 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.23, "volume": 14107708, "typical_volume": 12068280.4, "trend": 26.69103, "fair_value": 23.502855, "relative_strength": -22.978886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.555564, "energy": 61.8616, "activity_lines": [ 19.108667, 19.814768, 22.122279, 24.227113 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.1, "volume": 17625224, "typical_volume": 11803068.7, "trend": 26.543697, "fair_value": 23.460752, "relative_strength": -21.219749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.602891, "energy": 54.935904, "activity_lines": [ 19.692667, 19.916364, 21.844227, 23.866402 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }