{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e757bac-6e14-4e17-b3ff-93709e198299", "symbol": "002514", "name": "Jiangsu Boamax Technologies Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.178, "architecture_energy": 66.105, "architecture_maturity": 76.999, "architecture_confidence": 85.621, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 18.97, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 55.2, "rotation_down": 65.93, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.81, 2.028727, 2.687667, 3.197828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.94, "trend_reference": 3.931667, "distance_from_trend": -0.506571, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.1575, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.684937, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -63.613434, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.656637, "excess_performance": -0.664037, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.506571, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.262121, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.684937, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120829, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.636134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038126, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.656637, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.120687, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 271106481, "relative_activity": 1.946119, "balance": 1.120687, "dry_up": 1.943129, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.275178, "annualized_volatility": 0.822294, "from_high_reference": -0.762546, "from_low_reference": 0.385714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.931667, "fair_value_reference": 6.1575, "structural_low": 1.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.058884, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.62069, "median_excess_return": -0.031994, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.882466, "worst_return": -0.353503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.001069, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.052412, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 2.661333, "worst_return": -0.332143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.109585, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017916, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.402667, "worst_return": -0.380739, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1.56, "volume": 248922543, "typical_volume": 116171580.2, "trend": 4.207, "fair_value": 6.262628, "relative_strength": -70.741388, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.65733, "energy": 91.206827, "activity_lines": [ 1.830667, 2.336364, 2.978571, 3.488796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.82, "volume": 311826614, "typical_volume": 128703814.05, "trend": 4.063, "fair_value": 6.203462, "relative_strength": -64.706671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.964861, "energy": 75.03356, "activity_lines": [ 1.786, 2.149273, 2.82019, 3.334796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.94, "volume": 271106481, "typical_volume": 139306208.35, "trend": 3.931667, "fair_value": 6.1575, "relative_strength": -63.613434, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.178237, "energy": 66.105229, "activity_lines": [ 1.81, 2.028727, 2.687667, 3.197828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }