{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e8aa38f-31b1-4542-b16f-f392a1d51bc0", "symbol": "AIDX", "name": "Healwell AI Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.27, "architecture_energy": 84.77, "architecture_maturity": 19.827, "architecture_confidence": 85.939, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.49, "rotation_up": 8.61, "upward_expansion": 20.95, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 79.27, "downward_expansion": 96.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.67, 0.709545, 0.77681, 0.795376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.67, "trend_reference": 0.81, "distance_from_trend": -0.17284, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.238173, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.45888, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.851376, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.094595, "excess_performance": -0.215016, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17284, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082673, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.45888, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.265559, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398514, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.142056, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.094595, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.604826, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1070200, "relative_activity": 0.898505, "balance": 0.604826, "dry_up": 0.977277, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092423, "annualized_volatility": 0.577642, "from_high_reference": -0.590214, "from_low_reference": 0.155172 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.81, "fair_value_reference": 1.238173, "structural_low": 0.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.01138, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00258, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.714286, "worst_return": -0.565217, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.041096, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.153757, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 2.4375, "worst_return": -0.68, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.02069, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.129642, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.1, "worst_return": -0.462366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"direction": -27.830802, "energy": 44.529652, "activity_lines": [ 0.791667, 0.828727, 0.850357, 0.842806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.76, "volume": 631100, "typical_volume": 1572190.0, "trend": 0.837333, "fair_value": 1.228237, "relative_strength": -34.955908, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.035286, "energy": 49.721318, "activity_lines": [ 0.776, 0.810455, 0.842476, 0.837527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.68, "volume": 1919700, "typical_volume": 1472150.0, "trend": 0.832333, "fair_value": 1.230994, "relative_strength": -40.57983, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.100582, "energy": 75.459402, "activity_lines": [ 0.741, 0.781091, 0.82631, 0.827376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.66, "volume": 275000, "typical_volume": 1275165.0, "trend": 0.825, "fair_value": 1.233622, "relative_strength": -41.378396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.096053, "energy": 83.254578, "activity_lines": [ 0.708, 0.753182, 0.808524, 0.816258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.65, "volume": 1391200, "typical_volume": 1247740.0, "trend": 0.818667, "fair_value": 1.235865, "relative_strength": -40.947705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.393492, "energy": 87.203464, "activity_lines": [ 0.681, 0.727455, 0.791167, 0.804968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.67, "volume": 1070200, "typical_volume": 1191090.0, "trend": 0.81, "fair_value": 1.238173, "relative_strength": -39.851376, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.269882, "energy": 84.76988, "activity_lines": [ 0.67, 0.709545, 0.77681, 0.795376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }