{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9e8f1102-748b-4946-86c6-14ad9f3ed98c",
    "symbol": "300750",
    "name": "Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -11.261,
    "architecture_energy": 10.492,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.333,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.935,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.03,
        "rotation_up": 32.97,
        "upward_expansion": 21.74,
        "deceleration": 49.0,
        "rotation_down": 31.77,
        "downward_expansion": 35.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        382.622668,
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        393.042544,
        393.763729
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 388.070007,
    "trend_reference": 388.069708,
    "distance_from_trend": 1e-06,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 262.112248,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.480549,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.999511,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.126277,
    "excess_performance": 0.118877,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1e-06,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00492,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.480549,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.287658,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009995,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.053242,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126277,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.89627,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 148538247,
      "relative_activity": 1.051164,
      "balance": 0.89627,
      "dry_up": 1.312318,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.066055,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.3419,
      "from_high_reference": -0.172117,
      "from_low_reference": 0.53512
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 388.069708,
      "fair_value_reference": 262.112248,
      "structural_low": 329.005577,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.032227,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.033953,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.173452,
        "worst_return": -0.122882,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.055881,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.041736,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.425193,
        "worst_return": -0.25676,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.008531,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.09034,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.626269,
        "worst_return": -0.072108,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.225,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.052131,
        "worst_return": -0.236147,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.110577,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043873,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.050832,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.127726,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.070476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.079914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.089682,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.104278,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "relative_strength": 4.154166,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 143025411.8,
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        "fair_value": 260.951374,
        "relative_strength": 8.711253,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.848655,
        "energy": 23.532968,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 388.070007,
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        "typical_volume": 141308369.65,
        "trend": 388.069708,
        "fair_value": 262.112248,
        "relative_strength": 0.999511,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.261222,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}