{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9e94f4a2-7ce2-45bc-8bae-73f70a079e3d", "symbol": "KHC", "name": "Kraft Heinz Co", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.245, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.72, "architecture_energy": 52.83, "architecture_maturity": 16.476, "architecture_confidence": 69.567, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.52, "rotation_up": 65.84, "upward_expansion": 84.75, "deceleration": 48.53, "rotation_down": 14.28, "downward_expansion": 9.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.574667, 25.144364, 24.29347, 23.838635 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.32, "trend_reference": 23.423924, "distance_from_trend": 0.080946, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 27.429763, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.076915, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -7.305462, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.062848, "excess_performance": -0.124606, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080946, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015172, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.076915, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081961, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.073055, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117485, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.062848, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.155829, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92381142, "relative_activity": 1.340186, "balance": 1.155829, "dry_up": 1.078498, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067362, "annualized_volatility": 0.28793, "from_high_reference": -0.098612, "from_low_reference": 0.225032 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.423924, "fair_value_reference": 27.429763, "structural_low": 20.668856, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.020185, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.061174, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.067618, "worst_return": -0.103021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058299, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.135075, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.038472, "worst_return": -0.14134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.053747, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.340757, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.033401, "worst_return": -0.129055, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.930018, "energy": 55.014635, "activity_lines": [ 24.457333, 23.972564, 23.34362, 23.203998 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.88, "volume": 63902201, "typical_volume": 70767061.4, "trend": 23.18106, "fair_value": 27.515743, "relative_strength": -2.948951, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.343403, "energy": 70.328759, "activity_lines": [ 25.008667, 24.373619, 23.615649, 23.382818 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.67, "volume": 58172163, "typical_volume": 69379804.95, "trend": 23.259069, "fair_value": 27.482916, "relative_strength": -1.672788, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.016556, "energy": 71.180613, "activity_lines": [ 25.390667, 24.694001, 23.857744, 23.543395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.85, "volume": 82914724, "typical_volume": 68845026.0, "trend": 23.3347, "fair_value": 27.456046, "relative_strength": -1.073661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.430236, "energy": 65.751347, "activity_lines": [ 25.642667, 24.989856, 24.109567, 23.710551 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.32, "volume": 92381142, "typical_volume": 68931566.75, "trend": 23.423924, "fair_value": 27.429763, "relative_strength": -7.305462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.719936, "energy": 52.829694, "activity_lines": [ 25.574667, 25.144364, 24.29347, 23.838635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }