{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9eb8ed29-db30-42d3-92ee-b69c9597136d",
    "symbol": "BMED",
    "name": "Banca Mediolanum S.p.A.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.775,
    "architecture_energy": 83.528,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.533,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.689,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 1.21,
        "rotation_up": 79.53,
        "upward_expansion": 93.78,
        "deceleration": 45.35,
        "rotation_down": 17.58,
        "downward_expansion": 15.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        20.422874
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 24.15,
    "trend_reference": 19.410613,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.244165,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 12.591681,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.917933,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 8.03134,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.269709,
    "excess_performance": 0.095462,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244165,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074226,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.917933,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.210112,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080313,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077965,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.269709,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.964046,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 1.964046,
      "dry_up": 0.133345,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034018,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.296252,
      "from_high_reference": -0.015491,
      "from_low_reference": 0.604917
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 12.591681,
      "structural_low": 15.511825,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.026505,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005155,
        "regime_survival": 0.809524,
        "best_return": 0.136395,
        "worst_return": -0.202967,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
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        "worst_return": -0.160185,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.296047,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.081311,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 18.540001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2021.9,
        "trend": 17.580027,
        "fair_value": 11.269671,
        "relative_strength": -2.567974,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.56605,
        "energy": 39.655536,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.331059,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 19.389999,
        "volume": 13322,
        "typical_volume": 2570.0,
        "trend": 17.690797,
        "fair_value": 11.35365,
        "relative_strength": 0.234879,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.616139,
        "energy": 61.391382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2570.0,
        "trend": 17.817164,
        "fair_value": 11.436014,
        "relative_strength": -0.184491,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.665932,
        "energy": 70.788768,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 2716.5,
        "trend": 17.951092,
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        "relative_strength": 0.062547,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.373392,
        "energy": 77.735667,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 2810.55,
        "trend": 18.069391,
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        "relative_strength": -2.810869,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.132379,
        "energy": 77.667916,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 19.535,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2810.55,
        "trend": 18.159744,
        "fair_value": 11.689561,
        "relative_strength": -2.679315,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.491203,
        "energy": 75.265184,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 20.57,
        "volume": 3516,
        "typical_volume": 2934.65,
        "trend": 18.260594,
        "fair_value": 11.778687,
        "relative_strength": -0.525986,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.275122,
        "energy": 83.657315,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2882.95,
        "trend": 18.41799,
        "fair_value": 11.878104,
        "relative_strength": 2.150581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 92.851758,
        "energy": 94.361422,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 21.58,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2530.3,
        "trend": 18.543911,
        "fair_value": 11.974114,
        "relative_strength": 1.603741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.515032,
        "energy": 91.414549,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.110667,
          20.420364,
          19.315067,
          18.901087
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 22.540001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2375.2,
        "trend": 18.706021,
        "fair_value": 12.078029,
        "relative_strength": 3.314928,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.21091,
        "energy": 95.231341,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.727,
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          19.158899
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 22.299999,
        "volume": 467,
        "typical_volume": 2398.55,
        "trend": 18.84821,
        "fair_value": 12.178029,
        "relative_strength": 3.255846,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.017286,
        "energy": 90.720046,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.074,
          21.271545,
          20.041921,
          19.390769
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 22.23,
        "volume": 934,
        "typical_volume": 2290.15,
        "trend": 18.969704,
        "fair_value": 12.275922,
        "relative_strength": 4.638797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.109975,
        "energy": 88.42512,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.213333,
          21.556,
          20.350321,
          19.608949
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 22.620001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2212.6,
        "trend": 19.103231,
        "fair_value": 12.376049,
        "relative_strength": 4.717471,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.148249,
        "energy": 88.750544,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.372,
          21.859727,
          20.674458,
          19.844452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.16,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1852.4,
        "trend": 19.241227,
        "fair_value": 12.479145,
        "relative_strength": 6.939496,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.981616,
        "energy": 77.723847,
        "activity_lines": [
          22.674,
          22.200364,
          21.019765,
          20.106179
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.15,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1751.1,
        "trend": 19.410613,
        "fair_value": 12.591681,
        "relative_strength": 8.03134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.775392,
        "energy": 83.527562,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.200667,
          22.658455,
          21.42731,
          20.422874
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}