{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ec8b872-fb6b-43e6-99da-ddc00ca17c0a", "symbol": "BTC", "name": "The Brooker Group Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.317, "architecture_energy": 34.625, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.362, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.38, "rotation_up": 26.84, "upward_expansion": 4.42, "deceleration": 60.01, "rotation_down": 43.42, "downward_expansion": 77.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.151333, 0.152182, 0.156381, 0.166301 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.15, "trend_reference": 0.183333, "distance_from_trend": -0.181818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.344919, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.565115, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -46.75543, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.318182, "excess_performance": -0.510507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181818, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181548, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.565115, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052432, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.467554, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009106, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.318182, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.443736, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8718100, "relative_activity": 0.450182, "balance": 0.443736, "dry_up": 0.795663, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.123077, "annualized_volatility": 0.474038, "from_high_reference": -0.625, "from_low_reference": 0.071429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.183333, "fair_value_reference": 0.344919, "structural_low": 0.14, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.026316, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.071055, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.071429, "worst_return": -0.222222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.25463, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.369308, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.25, "worst_return": -0.259259, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.444444, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.686898, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.444444, "worst_return": -0.444444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.151333, 0.152182, 0.156381, 0.166301 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }