{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ece5cf3-2cd2-415f-8de3-e946a8e42ed0", "symbol": "MRNA", "name": "Moderna, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.695, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.417, "architecture_energy": 26.951, "architecture_maturity": 64.011, "architecture_confidence": 88.528, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.58, "rotation_up": 22.18, "upward_expansion": 55.53, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 35.23, "downward_expansion": 19.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.548, 53.707818, 50.602666, 48.542054 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 49.584999, "trend_reference": 45.5895, "distance_from_trend": 0.087641, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.990833, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.129948, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.343759, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.448371, "excess_performance": 0.274125, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087641, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.266715, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.129948, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.116087, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.153438, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.206581, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.448371, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.282913, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2548, "relative_activity": 0.597659, "balance": 0.282913, "dry_up": 0.77698, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135393, "annualized_volatility": 0.660353, "from_high_reference": -0.324547, "from_low_reference": 1.54517 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.5895, "fair_value_reference": 56.990833, "structural_low": 31.26, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 3852, "typical_volume": 7099.55, "trend": 43.513333, "fair_value": 57.982115, "relative_strength": 35.483562, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.467461, "energy": 81.697794, "activity_lines": [ 60.003999, 55.184999, 50.262047, 47.626118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.095001, "volume": 3802, "typical_volume": 6036.45, "trend": 44.1815, "fair_value": 57.594391, "relative_strength": 17.028125, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.173351, "energy": 49.420803, "activity_lines": [ 56.020333, 54.669363, 50.316785, 47.921709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.150002, "volume": 3048, "typical_volume": 4787.55, "trend": 44.938166, "fair_value": 57.262276, "relative_strength": 18.72242, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.254751, "energy": 22.108148, "activity_lines": [ 52.868001, 54.226, 50.447833, 48.242258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 49.584999, "volume": 2548, "typical_volume": 4263.3, "trend": 45.5895, "fair_value": 56.990833, "relative_strength": 15.343759, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.416737, "energy": 26.951486, "activity_lines": [ 50.548, 53.707818, 50.602666, 48.542054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }