{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ed4cd50-23f6-4fe9-a67c-b56d14a5cdb7", "symbol": "STRG", "name": "Storage Drop Storage Technologies Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.208, "architecture_energy": 38.072, "architecture_maturity": 26.72, "architecture_confidence": 89.984, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.96, "rotation_up": 18.12, "upward_expansion": 4.43, "deceleration": 51.68, "rotation_down": 52.22, "downward_expansion": 75.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.560933, 0.568073, 0.606352, 0.625798 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.564, "trend_reference": 0.662967, "distance_from_trend": -0.149278, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.452096, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.836621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.448123, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.208976, "excess_performance": -0.237876, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.149278, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076991, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.836621, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007902, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.354481, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.233502, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.208976, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.374689, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120706, "relative_activity": 0.909245, "balance": 1.374689, "dry_up": 1.077215, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.141708, "annualized_volatility": 0.548091, "from_high_reference": -0.727799, "from_low_reference": 0.480315 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.662967, "fair_value_reference": 3.452096, "structural_low": 0.495, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 45, "median_return": -0.057692, "positive_rate": 0.311111, "directional_follow_through": 0.688889, "median_excess_return": -0.115769, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.352466, "worst_return": -0.371345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.163462, "positive_rate": 0.266667, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": -0.26094, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.490539, "worst_return": -0.581516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.348858, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.524676, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.285102, "worst_return": -0.686614, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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{ "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.497, "volume": 286031, "typical_volume": 170799.6, "trend": 0.664833, "fair_value": 3.623417, "relative_strength": -49.472459, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.605343, "energy": 73.897935, "activity_lines": [ 0.546133, 0.590273, 0.623224, 0.643544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.55, "volume": 123689, "typical_volume": 146894.55, "trend": 0.6624, "fair_value": 3.560327, "relative_strength": -43.177319, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.319611, "energy": 63.387187, "activity_lines": [ 0.544067, 0.5764, 0.615133, 0.636135 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.6, "volume": 41593, "typical_volume": 135851.9, "trend": 0.661833, "fair_value": 3.502788, "relative_strength": -34.046094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.440512, "energy": 51.349057, "activity_lines": [ 0.559267, 0.574309, 0.612367, 0.63211 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.564, "volume": 120706, "typical_volume": 132754.1, "trend": 0.662967, "fair_value": 3.452096, "relative_strength": -35.448123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.208478, "energy": 38.072405, "activity_lines": [ 0.560933, 0.568073, 0.606352, 0.625798 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }