{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9ed60b47-274d-40f4-84e9-90928e4d1ca6",
    "symbol": "EWD",
    "name": "ISHARES INC MSCI SWEDEN ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 65.736,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.74,
    "architecture_energy": 66.501,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.909,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.953,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.01,
        "rotation_up": 72.81,
        "upward_expansion": 89.16,
        "deceleration": 42.18,
        "rotation_down": 12.89,
        "downward_expansion": 15.83
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        51.942667,
        51.151305,
        50.785464,
        50.554357
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 53.61,
    "trend_reference": 50.510728,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.061359,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.170057,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30216,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.931787,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.036625,
    "excess_performance": -0.088999,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061359,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024525,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.30216,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03394,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019318,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028401,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036625,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.721095,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 454455,
      "relative_activity": 0.465983,
      "balance": 0.721095,
      "dry_up": 0.818805,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033491,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.231682,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003532,
      "from_low_reference": 0.229038
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.510728,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.170057,
      "structural_low": 45.511541,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.003972,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.02307,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.088544,
        "worst_return": -0.088284,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.05194,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.064129,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.089609,
        "worst_return": -0.129032,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.109922,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.093035,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.226903,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.151103,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050793,
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        "worst_return": -0.331456,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-06-28",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "trend": 48.419548,
        "fair_value": 39.280863,
        "relative_strength": 4.154624,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.928075,
        "energy": 23.785636,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "energy": 34.716895,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 716571.4,
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        "fair_value": 39.502298,
        "relative_strength": -2.446619,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 50.24052,
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        "trend": 48.914665,
        "fair_value": 39.614999,
        "relative_strength": -4.771883,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 40.304672,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 48.432956,
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        "typical_volume": 743842.25,
        "trend": 48.9918,
        "fair_value": 39.714601,
        "relative_strength": -8.199181,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 9.82532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 51.227353,
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        "typical_volume": 769976.25,
        "trend": 49.127662,
        "fair_value": 39.839845,
        "relative_strength": -3.589178,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.742773,
        "energy": 15.081732,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 51.530242,
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        "typical_volume": 771724.85,
        "trend": 49.301607,
        "fair_value": 39.965287,
        "relative_strength": -4.266833,
        "stage": 3,
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        "direction": 40.677046,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 49.781301,
        "volume": 631819,
        "typical_volume": 786869.75,
        "trend": 49.441379,
        "fair_value": 40.079343,
        "relative_strength": -4.987729,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.770327,
        "energy": 11.350989,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 50.465245,
        "volume": 1318085,
        "typical_volume": 831416.2,
        "trend": 49.590761,
        "fair_value": 40.194065,
        "relative_strength": -4.105605,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
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        "fair_value": 40.317629,
        "relative_strength": -5.108568,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 17.478382,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 49.05,
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        "trend": 49.880957,
        "fair_value": 40.426243,
        "relative_strength": -5.141648,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 6.86238,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 50.48,
        "volume": 549373,
        "typical_volume": 776598.5,
        "trend": 50.00767,
        "fair_value": 40.550124,
        "relative_strength": -4.357676,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1009540.6,
        "trend": 50.096893,
        "fair_value": 40.662003,
        "relative_strength": -5.808084,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 18.285543,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 50.08,
        "volume": 862010,
        "typical_volume": 1026737.3,
        "trend": 50.185015,
        "fair_value": 40.775069,
        "relative_strength": -4.752879,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.850314,
        "energy": 3.690226,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.106667,
          50.180542,
          50.146495,
          50.196329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.4,
        "volume": 661049,
        "typical_volume": 980549.85,
        "trend": 50.247977,
        "fair_value": 40.89036,
        "relative_strength": -3.50463,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.164567,
        "energy": 10.047885,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.221333,
          50.222049,
          50.201763,
          50.210199
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.35,
        "volume": 1216676,
        "typical_volume": 995145.7,
        "trend": 50.377569,
        "fair_value": 41.024253,
        "relative_strength": -0.899154,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.1696,
        "energy": 33.632546,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.982,
          50.582338,
          50.443475,
          50.345813
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.61,
        "volume": 454455,
        "typical_volume": 975260.0,
        "trend": 50.510728,
        "fair_value": 41.170057,
        "relative_strength": -1.931787,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.739814,
        "energy": 66.500715,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.942667,
          51.151305,
          50.785464,
          50.554357
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}