{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9eda1d21-d06a-4273-89a8-0f9059740283", "symbol": "DICOT", "name": "Dicot Pharma AB", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.178, "architecture_energy": 65.544, "architecture_maturity": 54.905, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.45, "rotation_up": 26.35, "upward_expansion": 14.29, "deceleration": 42.15, "rotation_down": 56.56, "downward_expansion": 89.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.187827, 0.19558, 0.221595, 0.25243 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.1994, "trend_reference": 0.281853, "distance_from_trend": -0.29254, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.325904, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.388164, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -59.068194, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.393921, "excess_performance": -0.455415, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.29254, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.155934, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.388164, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.203785, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.590682, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042609, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.393921, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.323145, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 83264061, "relative_activity": 1.687972, "balance": 0.323145, "dry_up": 1.175404, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.183483, "annualized_volatility": 0.719911, "from_high_reference": -0.831017, "from_low_reference": 0.139429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.281853, "fair_value_reference": 0.325904, "structural_low": 0.175, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": 0.012958, "positive_rate": 0.527778, "directional_follow_through": 0.472222, "median_excess_return": -0.003012, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.48, "worst_return": -0.497126, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.143261, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.085096, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 1.929688, "worst_return": -0.306964, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.219858, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.225395, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.701987, "worst_return": -0.380686, "sufficient": true }, { 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"down", "direction": -69.114437, "energy": 71.985805, "activity_lines": [ 0.187747, 0.201522, 0.238215, 0.264972 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.1812, "volume": 52632574, "typical_volume": 51470688.75, "trend": 0.285273, "fair_value": 0.325639, "relative_strength": -63.042978, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.992885, "energy": 80.034624, "activity_lines": [ 0.183967, 0.196644, 0.228615, 0.25797 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1994, "volume": 83264061, "typical_volume": 49327856.6, "trend": 0.281853, "fair_value": 0.325904, "relative_strength": -59.068194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.177932, "energy": 65.54389, "activity_lines": [ 0.187827, 0.19558, 0.221595, 0.25243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }