{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9eddd5df-03ed-4a79-ae90-0ce23f52b29a",
    "symbol": "EKUS",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI USA SRI PAB UCITS ETF EUR Distribution",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.626,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.144,
    "architecture_energy": 61.988,
    "architecture_maturity": 81.254,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.331,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.67,
        "rotation_up": 50.3,
        "upward_expansion": 82.16,
        "deceleration": 71.25,
        "rotation_down": 29.28,
        "downward_expansion": 11.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 22.0,
    "trend_reference": 20.311544,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.083128,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 19.396683,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.134215,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -5.801048,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.146518,
    "excess_performance": -0.024374,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.083128,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03406,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134215,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06684,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05801,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033101,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146518,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.166019,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1540,
      "relative_activity": 0.217361,
      "balance": 5.166019,
      "dry_up": 0.686944,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018899,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.131861,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001588,
      "from_low_reference": 0.189799
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 19.396683,
      "structural_low": 18.490522,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
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        "positive_rate": 0.62069,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.62069,
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        "worst_return": -0.072246,
        "sufficient": true
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        "worst_return": -0.154291,
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        "typical_volume": 6068.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 8652.95,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 83.150014,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 6548.05,
        "trend": 19.990987,
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        "relative_strength": -6.860099,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 6689.4,
        "trend": 20.067911,
        "fair_value": 19.276528,
        "relative_strength": -5.220693,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.919747,
        "energy": 71.808209,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.629999,
        "volume": 1260,
        "typical_volume": 6717.4,
        "trend": 20.134001,
        "fair_value": 19.307352,
        "relative_strength": -5.020826,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.079579,
        "energy": 65.690322,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.687333,
          21.535454,
          20.969643,
          20.549299
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.615,
        "volume": 12047,
        "typical_volume": 7199.75,
        "trend": 20.197351,
        "fair_value": 19.335666,
        "relative_strength": -4.668756,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.697116,
        "energy": 65.157317,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.683666,
          21.579727,
          21.083163,
          20.644847
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 21.280001,
        "volume": 4621,
        "typical_volume": 7054.25,
        "trend": 20.249533,
        "fair_value": 19.363622,
        "relative_strength": -6.435924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.229398,
        "energy": 60.051608,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.559,
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          21.155673,
          20.714696
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 22.0,
        "volume": 1540,
        "typical_volume": 7085.0,
        "trend": 20.311544,
        "fair_value": 19.396683,
        "relative_strength": -5.801048,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.14409,
        "energy": 61.98783,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.678667,
          21.638182,
          21.286559,
          20.827629
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}