{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9ee23b09-a279-42e2-9021-c28f3aeebeb6",
    "symbol": "FMAO",
    "name": "Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.231,
    "architecture_energy": 84.211,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.323,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 80.94,
        "upward_expansion": 93.72,
        "deceleration": 42.92,
        "rotation_down": 10.02,
        "downward_expansion": 18.06
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.79,
        31.526642,
        29.932393,
        28.938845
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.92,
    "trend_reference": 27.875081,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.252732,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.814481,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.466335,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 15.22196,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.245328,
    "excess_performance": 0.057875,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252732,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070832,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.466335,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.255258,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15222,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231659,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.245328,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.587512,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 694140,
      "relative_activity": 1.674032,
      "balance": 3.587512,
      "dry_up": 1.111538,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.061632,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.261036,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028381,
      "from_low_reference": 0.561472
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.875081,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.814481,
      "structural_low": 23.491229,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.018757,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008311,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.147174,
        "worst_return": -0.2066,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.137687,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.113764,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.259042,
        "worst_return": -0.227354,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.023139,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.123994,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.222958,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.147147,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 23.492346,
        "relative_strength": -1.333756,
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        "direction": 62.978474,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 30.57,
        "volume": 321888,
        "typical_volume": 371296.0,
        "trend": 27.057351,
        "fair_value": 23.549976,
        "relative_strength": 5.594302,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.873359,
        "energy": 73.211939,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.168573,
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          28.428858,
          27.816603
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 30.95,
        "volume": 334009,
        "typical_volume": 377294.8,
        "trend": 27.234876,
        "fair_value": 23.617682,
        "relative_strength": 8.60039,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.165472,
        "energy": 65.065783,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.506486,
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          28.760452,
          28.067742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 33.36,
        "volume": 493566,
        "typical_volume": 393444.1,
        "trend": 27.54302,
        "fair_value": 23.709519,
        "relative_strength": 16.065686,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.268456,
        "energy": 68.460901,
        "activity_lines": [
          31.49235,
          30.602567,
          29.293746,
          28.462911
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.92,
        "volume": 694140,
        "typical_volume": 414651.55,
        "trend": 27.875081,
        "fair_value": 23.814481,
        "relative_strength": 15.22196,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.231168,
        "energy": 84.211312,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.79,
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          29.932393,
          28.938845
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}