{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ee4e880-d6fd-4a95-a569-e94824ae1453", "symbol": "DOYU", "name": "DouYu International Holdings", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.306, "architecture_energy": 28.91, "architecture_maturity": 88.987, "architecture_confidence": 85.008, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.53, "rotation_up": 21.33, "upward_expansion": 2.57, "deceleration": 57.3, "rotation_down": 44.4, "downward_expansion": 73.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.623, 4.650545, 4.725619, 4.812602 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.705, "trend_reference": 5.063167, "distance_from_trend": -0.07074, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.394288, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.070708, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.826186, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171655, "excess_performance": -0.359109, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07074, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127366, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.070708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071998, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.318262, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090653, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171655, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.490722, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 107177, "relative_activity": 1.022426, "balance": 0.490722, "dry_up": 0.719503, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085685, "annualized_volatility": 0.324871, "from_high_reference": -0.456069, "from_low_reference": 0.099299 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.063167, "fair_value_reference": 4.394288, "structural_low": 4.28, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.034397, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.578947, "median_excess_return": -0.052427, "regime_survival": 0.894737, "best_return": 0.398148, "worst_return": -0.354839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.168307, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.158525, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.785177, "worst_return": -0.36715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.224093, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.276315, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.229008, "worst_return": -0.543119, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -60.603371, "energy": 39.159674, "activity_lines": [ 4.592667, 4.686909, 4.747667, 4.878151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.62, "volume": 49748, "typical_volume": 106942.3, "trend": 5.132667, "fair_value": 4.373379, "relative_strength": -30.565981, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.379223, "energy": 35.253377, "activity_lines": [ 4.594667, 4.660545, 4.731333, 4.840194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.705, "volume": 107177, "typical_volume": 104826.2, "trend": 5.063167, "fair_value": 4.394288, "relative_strength": -31.826186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.305574, "energy": 28.910498, "activity_lines": [ 4.623, 4.650545, 4.725619, 4.812602 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }