{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ee79f2d-f34d-4158-a0ff-505b3da6ebd4", "symbol": "NVNI", "name": "Nvni Group Limited Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.252, "architecture_energy": 19.079, "architecture_maturity": 51.688, "architecture_confidence": 66.245, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.04, "rotation_up": 33.06, "upward_expansion": 23.31, "deceleration": 44.08, "rotation_down": 26.91, "downward_expansion": 50.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.142667, 1.10884, 1.121768, 1.17954 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.05, "trend_reference": 1.34805, "distance_from_trend": -0.221097, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.611083, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.909569, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -67.727091, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.355828, "excess_performance": -0.543282, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.221097, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.335281, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.909569, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001563, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.677271, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047973, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.355828, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.17069, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 238816, "relative_activity": 0.091087, "balance": 0.17069, "dry_up": 0.224303, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.24956, "annualized_volatility": 1.116852, "from_high_reference": -0.935976, "from_low_reference": 0.36541 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.34805, "fair_value_reference": 11.611083, "structural_low": 0.769, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.214099, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.170298, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.214099, "worst_return": -0.214099, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.240209, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.25061, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.240209, "worst_return": -0.240209, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.639687, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.717027, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.639687, "worst_return": -0.639687, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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11.896182, "relative_strength": -70.017721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.0454, "energy": 45.337523, "activity_lines": [ 1.001647, 1.014767, 1.113177, 1.253639 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.58, "volume": 1495000, "typical_volume": 2624760.75, "trend": 1.52305, "fair_value": 11.826003, "relative_strength": -54.384948, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.351898, "energy": 11.168502, "activity_lines": [ 1.208213, 1.111285, 1.151741, 1.254152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.13, "volume": 445418, "typical_volume": 2631076.55, "trend": 1.464717, "fair_value": 11.753733, "relative_strength": -66.088457, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.114895, "energy": 19.715965, "activity_lines": [ 1.21344, 1.118349, 1.145734, 1.228794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.06, "volume": 173116, "typical_volume": 2617672.25, "trend": 1.408717, "fair_value": 11.681963, "relative_strength": -67.103474, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.8356, "energy": 21.116915, "activity_lines": [ 1.183333, 1.113231, 1.133775, 1.202683 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.05, "volume": 238816, "typical_volume": 2621846.9, "trend": 1.34805, "fair_value": 11.611083, "relative_strength": -67.727091, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.25245, "energy": 19.079381, "activity_lines": [ 1.142667, 1.10884, 1.121768, 1.17954 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }