{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9efa9320-844a-4832-a6a2-4ae58c76e443", "symbol": "CBSUS5", "name": "UBS BBG MSCI US Liquid Corp 1-5 Sustainable UCITS ETF hCHF acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 51.385, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.712, "architecture_energy": 69.47, "architecture_maturity": 44.656, "architecture_confidence": 80.905, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.45, "rotation_up": 12.74, "upward_expansion": 14.92, "deceleration": 40.04, "rotation_down": 71.99, "downward_expansion": 90.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.624133, 9.642247, 9.667016, 9.689133 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.644, "trend_reference": 9.72374, "distance_from_trend": -0.008201, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.649953, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.000617, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.096813, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.016781, "excess_performance": -0.099665, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.008201, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005615, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.000617, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011926, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110968, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070838, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.016781, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.931505, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5322, "relative_activity": 1.889646, "balance": 1.931505, "dry_up": 1.211653, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004293, "annualized_volatility": 0.02911, "from_high_reference": -0.026055, "from_low_reference": 0.008006 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.72374, "fair_value_reference": 9.649953, "structural_low": 9.5674, 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53.334949, "activity_lines": [ 9.683373, 9.686658, 9.703729, 9.726199 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.6478, "volume": 2690, "typical_volume": 2953.75, "trend": 9.74976, "fair_value": 9.645393, "relative_strength": -10.519047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.430891, "energy": 56.360251, "activity_lines": [ 9.6716, 9.678356, 9.696375, 9.719267 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.6612, "volume": 5895, "typical_volume": 3236.8, "trend": 9.744887, "fair_value": 9.646978, "relative_strength": -10.757644, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.439498, "energy": 55.577825, "activity_lines": [ 9.666667, 9.673971, 9.691244, 9.713553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.585, "volume": 637, "typical_volume": 2852.15, "trend": 9.73722, "fair_value": 9.648066, "relative_strength": -11.027203, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -87.363772, "energy": 82.886247, "activity_lines": [ 9.637373, 9.657171, 9.679764, 9.703238 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.6042, "volume": 1796, "typical_volume": 2687.95, "trend": 9.729607, "fair_value": 9.649007, "relative_strength": -10.612467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.028256, "energy": 85.465332, "activity_lines": [ 9.621067, 9.645505, 9.671257, 9.694656 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.644, "volume": 5322, "typical_volume": 2816.4, "trend": 9.72374, "fair_value": 9.649953, "relative_strength": -11.096813, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.71205, "energy": 69.470354, "activity_lines": [ 9.624133, 9.642247, 9.667016, 9.689133 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }