{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f1454c7-f4d6-4cec-af4d-d051c337cc98", "symbol": "605258", "name": "Jiangsu Xiehe Electronic Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.074, "architecture_energy": 83.74, "architecture_maturity": 17.787, "architecture_confidence": 84.956, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 8.4, "upward_expansion": 20.41, "deceleration": 37.04, "rotation_down": 79.4, "downward_expansion": 96.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.116, 27.507818, 30.739897, 31.910797 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 27.23, "trend_reference": 32.899966, "distance_from_trend": -0.17234, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 28.438503, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.042495, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.300297, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.167054, "excess_performance": -0.12385, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17234, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025547, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.042495, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.410488, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163003, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242488, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.167054, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.550477, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11115076, "relative_activity": 0.802519, "balance": 0.550477, "dry_up": 0.783436, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129226, "annualized_volatility": 0.502736, "from_high_reference": -0.304164, "from_low_reference": 0.308506 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.899966, "fair_value_reference": 28.438503, "structural_low": 20.809999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.087388, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.053558, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.642204, "worst_return": -0.037267, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.254934, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.20404, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.423575, "worst_return": -0.097798, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.185255, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.099882, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.811277, "worst_return": 0.018199, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.89133, "energy": 87.982971, "activity_lines": [ 26.102666, 29.53917, 32.199818, 32.895338 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.799999, "volume": 8726933, "typical_volume": 14193476.5, "trend": 33.020516, "fair_value": 28.415817, "relative_strength": -25.087211, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.10193, "energy": 88.767861, "activity_lines": [ 24.626666, 28.0939, 31.279295, 32.284379 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.23, "volume": 11115076, "typical_volume": 13850236.8, "trend": 32.899966, "fair_value": 28.438503, "relative_strength": -16.300297, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.073932, "energy": 83.739768, "activity_lines": [ 25.116, 27.507818, 30.739897, 31.910797 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }