{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9f198832-145e-4541-bf00-64e53f31aff9",
    "symbol": "SUJD",
    "name": "iShares MSCI Japan SRI UCITS ETF USD (Dist)",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.043,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.52,
    "architecture_energy": 91.605,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.635,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.181,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.81,
        "rotation_up": 82.58,
        "upward_expansion": 96.33,
        "deceleration": 42.05,
        "rotation_down": 10.25,
        "downward_expansion": 20.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        7.012188
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.7,
    "trend_reference": 6.949872,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.107934,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.136656,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254755,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.104246,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.090883,
    "excess_performance": -0.025779,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.107934,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015867,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.254755,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121595,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001042,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045172,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.090883,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.348155,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 143729,
      "relative_activity": 3.36091,
      "balance": 1.348155,
      "dry_up": 3.126577,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02458,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.213875,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002849,
      "from_low_reference": 0.221354
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.949872,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.136656,
      "structural_low": 6.304481,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.006091,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012601,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 0.060801,
        "worst_return": -0.111673,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029298,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.073003,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.13857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.047612,
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        "worst_return": -0.292816,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 6.846451,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 6.052876,
        "relative_strength": -5.136611,
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        "energy": 54.516883,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 6.867355,
        "fair_value": 6.062511,
        "relative_strength": -6.339533,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.112245,
        "energy": 40.483738,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 7.189,
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        "typical_volume": 28008.35,
        "trend": 6.879535,
        "fair_value": 6.074176,
        "relative_strength": -4.545641,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 49.247704,
        "energy": 57.271916,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 101619,
        "typical_volume": 32820.8,
        "trend": 6.894762,
        "fair_value": 6.085754,
        "relative_strength": -3.634494,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.163496,
        "energy": 74.14463,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 7.246,
        "volume": 213144,
        "typical_volume": 32207.6,
        "trend": 6.907438,
        "fair_value": 6.09753,
        "relative_strength": -4.510402,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.396446,
        "energy": 75.366404,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.186867,
          7.099168,
          6.956195,
          6.92045
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.166,
        "volume": 32512,
        "typical_volume": 33479.75,
        "trend": 6.916549,
        "fair_value": 6.108107,
        "relative_strength": -5.250185,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.305175,
        "energy": 76.854006,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.1932,
          7.124388,
          6.987685,
          6.937132
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.311,
        "volume": 145446,
        "typical_volume": 40568.35,
        "trend": 6.931078,
        "fair_value": 6.121004,
        "relative_strength": -4.011702,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.602707,
        "energy": 77.285052,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.244933,
          7.169826,
          7.030525,
          6.96258
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.7,
        "volume": 143729,
        "typical_volume": 42764.9,
        "trend": 6.949872,
        "fair_value": 6.136656,
        "relative_strength": 0.104246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.519648,
        "energy": 91.60543,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.399867,
          7.277853,
          7.107143,
          7.012188
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}