{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f256a99-81c3-4f9a-a4b8-f77719f07e66", "symbol": "AETF", "name": "ALPHA ETF FTSE Athex Large Cap Equity UCITS", "exchange": "ATH", "country": "GR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-11", "benchmark": "GD.AT", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.367, "architecture_energy": 92.897, "architecture_maturity": 42.173, "architecture_confidence": 76.686, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 83.56, "upward_expansion": 99.4, "deceleration": 39.27, "rotation_down": 12.3, "downward_expansion": 21.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 69.258667, 67.909273, 65.800286, 63.749462 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 70.400002, "trend_reference": 61.102667, "distance_from_trend": 0.152159, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 43.490013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.618762, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.923011, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.287962, "excess_performance": 0.009456, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.152159, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056859, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.618762, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070777, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00923, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007135, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.287962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.737602, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37031, "relative_activity": 3.290109, "balance": 9.737602, "dry_up": 1.973501, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023077, "annualized_volatility": 0.180522, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.432059 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.102667, "fair_value_reference": 43.490013, "structural_low": 51.029999, "invalidation": "A 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.069382, "energy": 90.325939, "activity_lines": [ 66.150665, 65.124181, 63.209, 61.482451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 67.489998, "volume": 7441, "typical_volume": 11948.95, "trend": 60.125666, "fair_value": 42.711676, "relative_strength": 0.272444, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.364189, "energy": 90.306229, "activity_lines": [ 66.906665, 65.672908, 63.794333, 61.977849 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-28", "close": 68.800003, "volume": 31598, "typical_volume": 12051.05, "trend": 60.428667, "fair_value": 42.961828, "relative_strength": 0.437129, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.529052, "energy": 93.726667, "activity_lines": [ 67.739333, 66.371272, 64.441095, 62.537484 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 69.529999, "volume": 12779, "typical_volume": 10567.4, "trend": 60.715667, "fair_value": 43.223523, "relative_strength": 0.650778, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.683493, "energy": 92.371473, "activity_lines": [ 68.480666, 67.117818, 65.10319, 63.124666 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 70.400002, "volume": 37031, "typical_volume": 11255.25, "trend": 61.102667, "fair_value": 43.490013, "relative_strength": 0.923011, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.366781, "energy": 92.896969, "activity_lines": [ 69.258667, 67.909273, 65.800286, 63.749462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }