{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f3954f1-c865-4102-bede-a1b41b0cef28", "symbol": "300972", "name": "Fujian Wanchen Food Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.45, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -0.065, "architecture_energy": 11.617, "architecture_maturity": 15.397, "architecture_confidence": 76.373, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.42, "rotation_up": 48.26, "upward_expansion": 30.47, "deceleration": 37.53, "rotation_down": 13.96, "downward_expansion": 19.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 201.362667, 194.112547, 195.780766, 197.234286 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 202.330002, "trend_reference": 199.409043, "distance_from_trend": 0.014648, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 105.796153, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.912451, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.783157, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.005195, "excess_performance": -0.002204, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.014648, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011474, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.912451, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.471007, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.027832, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03671, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.005195, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.554177, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13142308, "relative_activity": 1.518594, "balance": 0.554177, "dry_up": 1.604269, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108661, "annualized_volatility": 0.464511, "from_high_reference": -0.163442, "from_low_reference": 0.441495 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 199.409043, "fair_value_reference": 105.796153, "structural_low": 165.020004, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.142724, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.056975, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.933091, "worst_return": -0.068417, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.076568, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.03072, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.593477, "worst_return": -0.084132, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 1.143033, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 1.04696, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.298329, "worst_return": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 218.5, "volume": 15163304, "typical_volume": 8616087.25, "trend": 199.342303, "fair_value": 104.775485, "relative_strength": 17.151574, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.99711, "energy": 12.848731, "activity_lines": [ 199.070666, 191.447274, 195.286896, 197.041532 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 202.330002, "volume": 13142308, "typical_volume": 8654258.05, "trend": 199.409043, "fair_value": 105.796153, "relative_strength": 2.783157, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.065289, "energy": 11.616793, "activity_lines": [ 201.362667, 194.112547, 195.780766, 197.234286 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }