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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.172, "architecture_energy": 95.554, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 77.987, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.87, "rotation_up": 88.89, "upward_expansion": 99.99, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.04, "downward_expansion": 21.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 4205.0, 3983.545455, 3759.452381, 3627.730823 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 4355.0, "trend_reference": 3463.574967, "distance_from_trend": 0.257371, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2316.316913, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.88014, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 14.246695, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.356123, "excess_performance": 0.194389, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.257371, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090009, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.88014, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.193031, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.142467, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.188484, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.356123, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.656577, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 184200, "relative_activity": 1.114102, "balance": 9.656577, "dry_up": 1.632746, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040272, "annualized_volatility": 0.252977, "from_high_reference": -0.019144, "from_low_reference": 0.65535 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3463.574967, "fair_value_reference": 2316.316913, "structural_low": 2916.209222, 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9.296697, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.590557, "energy": 97.255596, "activity_lines": [ 4068.666667, 3869.727273, 3683.52381, 3567.707371 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 4355.0, "volume": 184200, "typical_volume": 165335.0, "trend": 3463.574967, "fair_value": 2316.316913, "relative_strength": 14.246695, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.171537, "energy": 95.553739, "activity_lines": [ 4205.0, 3983.545455, 3759.452381, 3627.730823 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }