{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f56122d-dc76-4bea-9406-085711821150", "symbol": "002030", "name": "Daan Gene Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.749, "architecture_energy": 22.588, "architecture_maturity": 40.13, "architecture_confidence": 77.741, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.96, "rotation_up": 22.4, "upward_expansion": 13.68, "deceleration": 45.48, "rotation_down": 35.21, "downward_expansion": 61.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.393333, 5.322182, 5.597333, 5.742237 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.61, "trend_reference": 5.936667, "distance_from_trend": -0.055025, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.816823, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177036, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.476773, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.15, "excess_performance": -0.1574, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055025, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052911, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.177036, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095636, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124768, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027962, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.15, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.681156, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 113488928, "relative_activity": 0.7189, "balance": 1.681156, "dry_up": 0.723248, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.128342, "annualized_volatility": 0.465399, "from_high_reference": -0.315854, "from_low_reference": 0.161491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.936667, "fair_value_reference": 6.816823, "structural_low": 4.83, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.01608, "positive_rate": 0.424242, "directional_follow_through": 0.575758, "median_excess_return": -0.010281, "regime_survival": 0.787879, "best_return": 0.249027, "worst_return": -0.192555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.013678, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.009908, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.349079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.059995, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.120116, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.16094, "worst_return": -0.443663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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5.849183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.2, "volume": 110405789, "typical_volume": 153529285.65, "trend": 5.968667, "fair_value": 6.872206, "relative_strength": -17.473892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.193129, "energy": 42.005768, "activity_lines": [ 5.155333, 5.333273, 5.647619, 5.797527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.45, "volume": 112871474, "typical_volume": 155432081.7, "trend": 5.948333, "fair_value": 6.844162, "relative_strength": -11.382906, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.518754, "energy": 32.670341, "activity_lines": [ 5.266667, 5.304545, 5.613095, 5.764065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.61, "volume": 113488928, "typical_volume": 157864650.3, "trend": 5.936667, "fair_value": 6.816823, "relative_strength": -12.476773, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.748628, "energy": 22.588173, "activity_lines": [ 5.393333, 5.322182, 5.597333, 5.742237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }