{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f602311-0edd-42c9-81fa-486ed17f66cf", "symbol": "TATAELXSI", "name": "Tata Elxsi Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.337, "architecture_energy": 60.153, "architecture_maturity": 57.657, "architecture_confidence": 83.363, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.26, "rotation_up": 18.15, "upward_expansion": 10.09, "deceleration": 48.15, "rotation_down": 64.46, "downward_expansion": 83.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 3660.486637, 3725.338641, 3897.377905, 4035.020357 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3781.0, "trend_reference": 4300.088354, "distance_from_trend": -0.120716, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6198.165022, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.389981, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.848029, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.272675, "excess_performance": -0.228966, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120716, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.102389, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.389981, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.044962, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.19848, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021545, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.272675, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.489878, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1257855, "relative_activity": 0.933764, "balance": 1.489878, "dry_up": 2.00415, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056645, "annualized_volatility": 0.287561, "from_high_reference": -0.364538, "from_low_reference": 0.127344 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4300.088354, "fair_value_reference": 6198.165022, "structural_low": 3353.899902, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.010015, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.025979, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.207479, "worst_return": -0.151806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.021504, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.001146, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.150929, "worst_return": -0.239615, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.057853, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.10512, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.019254, "worst_return": -0.257011, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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-23.825557, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.141657, "energy": 90.573129, "activity_lines": [ 3610.65332, 3786.751549, 3960.763633, 4120.768538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3672.899902, "volume": 2599687, "typical_volume": 1418597.15, "trend": 4363.755021, "fair_value": 6218.583407, "relative_strength": -22.185496, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.064256, "energy": 83.791968, "activity_lines": [ 3605.706624, 3741.106445, 3922.537193, 4072.617455 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3781.0, "volume": 1257855, "typical_volume": 1347080.55, "trend": 4300.088354, "fair_value": 6198.165022, "relative_strength": -19.848029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.336994, "energy": 60.152923, "activity_lines": [ 3660.486637, 3725.338641, 3897.377905, 4035.020357 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }