{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f624ec8-7f0d-4567-8a31-1e86b12a36dd", "symbol": "M3V", "name": "MeVis Medical Solutions AG", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.9, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 14.087, "architecture_energy": 14.374, "architecture_maturity": 37.845, "architecture_confidence": 64.907, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.87, "rotation_up": 36.47, "upward_expansion": 38.2, "deceleration": 60.81, "rotation_down": 33.31, "downward_expansion": 22.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.786667, 23.836364, 23.609524, 23.560597 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.6, "trend_reference": 23.588295, "distance_from_trend": 0.000496, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.718673, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.005003, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.462758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.003603, "excess_performance": -0.061036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000496, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003069, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.005003, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029424, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084628, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042524, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003603, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.248747, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.248747, "dry_up": 1.649144, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018905, "annualized_volatility": 0.199918, "from_high_reference": -0.086272, "from_low_reference": 0.063063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.588295, "fair_value_reference": 23.718673, "structural_low": 22.200001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.069839, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.007936, "worst_return": -0.024793, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.011597, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017111, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.053498, "worst_return": -0.030303, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.031706, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.166458, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.012346, "worst_return": -0.075758, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 737.95, "trend": 23.595064, "fair_value": 23.813394, "relative_strength": -1.892627, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.959365, "energy": 63.722505, "activity_lines": [ 23.946667, 23.680001, 23.450656, 23.495704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 24.200001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 729.85, "trend": 23.592188, "fair_value": 23.794533, "relative_strength": -0.941548, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.651904, "energy": 68.429299, "activity_lines": [ 24.080001, 23.803637, 23.522827, 23.534732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.200001, "volume": 4, "typical_volume": 715.2, "trend": 23.608588, "fair_value": 23.771093, "relative_strength": -1.955766, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.894995, "energy": 70.419818, "activity_lines": [ 24.160001, 23.909092, 23.59449, 23.573946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.4, "volume": 1345, "typical_volume": 238.5, "trend": 23.598321, "fair_value": 23.74367, "relative_strength": -6.96315, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.030586, "energy": 27.051425, "activity_lines": [ 23.933334, 23.858182, 23.58762, 23.560489 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.6, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 204.5, "trend": 23.588295, "fair_value": 23.718673, "relative_strength": -8.462758, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.087402, "energy": 14.373958, "activity_lines": [ 23.786667, 23.836364, 23.609524, 23.560597 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }