{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9f793137-3db0-4a6d-9ce9-ea87ad35904a",
    "symbol": "600199",
    "name": "Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 73.802,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -16.2,
    "architecture_energy": 17.525,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.885,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.17,
        "rotation_up": 38.18,
        "upward_expansion": 22.73,
        "deceleration": 41.33,
        "rotation_down": 21.78,
        "downward_expansion": 56.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.483333,
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        7.635398
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 8.06,
    "trend_reference": 8.163333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.012658,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 13.019936,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.380949,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.089303,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.227969,
    "excess_performance": -0.184766,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.012658,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110522,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.380949,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066222,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110893,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.155173,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.227969,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.344324,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 233227011,
      "relative_activity": 2.789972,
      "balance": 2.344324,
      "dry_up": 2.454681,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.113571,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.419341,
      "from_high_reference": -0.314043,
      "from_low_reference": 0.343333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.163333,
      "fair_value_reference": 13.019936,
      "structural_low": 6.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 30,
        "median_return": -0.046148,
        "positive_rate": 0.366667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.633333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053071,
        "regime_survival": 0.866667,
        "best_return": 0.268671,
        "worst_return": -0.203917,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.101859,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11959,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.290962,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.152907,
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        "worst_return": -0.362247,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.453523,
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        "best_return": 0.028002,
        "worst_return": -0.470904,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.028434,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-03",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-21",
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        "return": -0.031145,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 13.251474,
        "relative_strength": -24.918998,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.85,
        "volume": 272366421,
        "typical_volume": 75278278.25,
        "trend": 8.217333,
        "fair_value": 13.139167,
        "relative_strength": -11.623633,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.627243,
        "energy": 22.558341,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.06,
        "volume": 233227011,
        "typical_volume": 83594746.85,
        "trend": 8.163333,
        "fair_value": 13.019936,
        "relative_strength": -11.089303,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.200006,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}