{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f861b81-833f-49ad-a819-ce5759c2b144", "symbol": "000607", "name": "Zhejiang Huamei Holding CO., LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.214, "architecture_energy": 29.898, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.831, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.46, "rotation_up": 27.43, "upward_expansion": 17.02, "deceleration": 46.98, "rotation_down": 31.44, "downward_expansion": 64.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.426667, 3.355091, 3.501905, 3.694473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 3.59, "trend_reference": 3.987333, "distance_from_trend": -0.099649, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.094452, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.123204, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.443935, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.300195, "excess_performance": -0.307595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099649, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076935, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.123204, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099655, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174439, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06297, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.300195, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.662252, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 92722793, "relative_activity": 1.714335, "balance": 0.662252, "dry_up": 1.381043, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079066, "annualized_volatility": 0.308627, "from_high_reference": -0.366843, "from_low_reference": 0.188742 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.987333, "fair_value_reference": 4.094452, "structural_low": 3.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.003339, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.00429, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.257426, "worst_return": -0.171806, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013243, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.004071, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.283388, "worst_return": -0.311966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.085801, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.09373, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.711111, "worst_return": -0.380769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.28, "volume": 62077611, "typical_volume": 58535100.25, "trend": 4.090333, "fair_value": 4.13755, "relative_strength": -32.342236, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.500276, "energy": 84.235129, "activity_lines": [ 3.243333, 3.384909, 3.642762, 3.863204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.28, "volume": 85007819, "typical_volume": 56396048.6, "trend": 4.062333, "fair_value": 4.126562, "relative_strength": -24.015764, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.088346, "energy": 67.399337, "activity_lines": [ 3.246, 3.336182, 3.588381, 3.810925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.19, "volume": 59341503, "typical_volume": 53743502.65, "trend": 4.026667, "fair_value": 4.114998, "relative_strength": -25.44979, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.461752, "energy": 60.107728, "activity_lines": [ 3.230667, 3.287273, 3.532, 3.754645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.51, "volume": 61712459, "typical_volume": 52953571.6, "trend": 4.006, "fair_value": 4.104151, "relative_strength": -15.896993, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.586852, "energy": 43.824278, "activity_lines": [ 3.329333, 3.311273, 3.511571, 3.721312 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.59, "volume": 92722793, "typical_volume": 54086754.85, "trend": 3.987333, "fair_value": 4.094452, "relative_strength": -17.443935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.213814, "energy": 29.89836, "activity_lines": [ 3.426667, 3.355091, 3.501905, 3.694473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }