{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9f94b714-9a06-4922-9c5b-84d55144231e", "symbol": "7792", "name": "AM POWER", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 86.505, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.656, "architecture_energy": 55.542, "architecture_maturity": 22.247, "architecture_confidence": 91.96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.1, "rotation_up": 21.95, "upward_expansion": 9.48, "deceleration": 47.97, "rotation_down": 57.82, "downward_expansion": 82.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 218.6, 224.165038, 246.613651, 265.857697 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 250.0, "trend_reference": 287.901986, "distance_from_trend": -0.131649, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 216.517758, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15464, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.55243, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.134388, "excess_performance": -0.57576, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.131649, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041098, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.15464, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183673, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275524, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120559, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.134388, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.172849, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4187062, "relative_activity": 3.186701, "balance": 1.172849, "dry_up": 1.361006, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.117011, "annualized_volatility": 0.56914, "from_high_reference": -0.378428, "from_low_reference": 0.392758 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 287.901986, "fair_value_reference": 216.517758, "structural_low": 179.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"fair_value": 216.725118, "relative_strength": -33.947749, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -47.269446, "energy": 55.052495, "activity_lines": [ 248.005138, 256.413749, 280.94084, 289.711668 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 208.5, "volume": 506233, "typical_volume": 1196208.4, "trend": 287.295402, "fair_value": 216.623573, "relative_strength": -37.391063, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.267615, "energy": 78.097659, "activity_lines": [ 234.066667, 246.007198, 272.355622, 284.669012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 209.0, "volume": 518166, "typical_volume": 1113315.75, "trend": 287.558633, "fair_value": 216.530603, "relative_strength": -38.089065, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.852871, "energy": 82.840532, "activity_lines": [ 223.0, 237.583517, 264.509678, 279.617696 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 191.5, "volume": 1079132, "typical_volume": 1121402.45, "trend": 287.335448, "fair_value": 216.229029, "relative_strength": -42.007094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.382104, "energy": 90.373635, "activity_lines": [ 209.566667, 227.341058, 255.624037, 273.420365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 207.0, "volume": 1368639, "typical_volume": 1141442.0, "trend": 286.885897, "fair_value": 216.11916, "relative_strength": -38.350749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.086668, "energy": 85.148427, "activity_lines": [ 205.366667, 221.245577, 248.814128, 268.237432 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 250.0, "volume": 4187062, "typical_volume": 1313917.6, "trend": 287.901986, "fair_value": 216.517758, "relative_strength": -27.55243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.656343, "energy": 55.541728, "activity_lines": [ 218.6, 224.165038, 246.613651, 265.857697 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }