{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fbf923d-49e8-4bba-8937-7361e941ef79", "symbol": "AIY", "name": "iFAST Corporation Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.646, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.003, "architecture_energy": 14.702, "architecture_maturity": 11.22, "architecture_confidence": 72.429, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.16, "rotation_up": 33.95, "upward_expansion": 33.66, "deceleration": 33.34, "rotation_down": 26.25, "downward_expansion": 42.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.10369, 9.081044, 9.019687, 9.032089 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.89, "trend_reference": 9.159944, "distance_from_trend": -0.02947, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.722629, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151162, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.134822, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.07262, "excess_performance": -0.227455, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02947, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005913, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151162, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0354, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.181348, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109016, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.07262, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.830545, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6495900, "relative_activity": 1.168984, "balance": 0.830545, "dry_up": 1.544137, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044249, "annualized_volatility": 0.259775, "from_high_reference": -0.191687, "from_low_reference": 0.087545 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.159944, "fair_value_reference": 7.722629, "structural_low": 8.452514, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.001359, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.036568, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.221313, "worst_return": -0.154348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.081281, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.050785, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.31935, "worst_return": -0.0252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.025047, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.025445, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.680177, "worst_return": -0.087444, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.091137, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.011411, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.276548, "worst_return": -0.094275, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.091907, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.078077, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.106592, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.146552, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.198919, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.085396, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.049847, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.007625, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.013727, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081808, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-03-20", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.068259, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.120466, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.033641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.067983, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 5.35387, "volume": 1841100, "typical_volume": 1298710.0, "trend": 4.721684, "fair_value": 5.424344, "relative_strength": 15.971669, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": 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7.624408, "relative_strength": -14.287625, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.539454, "energy": 13.457051, "activity_lines": [ 8.974147, 8.937471, 8.939828, 9.033335 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.53845, "volume": 9042400, "typical_volume": 5657475.0, "trend": 9.19832, "fair_value": 7.655666, "relative_strength": -10.27798, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 11.378394, "energy": 17.148919, "activity_lines": [ 9.170929, 9.055943, 8.996145, 9.056011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.249406, "volume": 7712000, "typical_volume": 5409535.0, "trend": 9.19273, "fair_value": 7.680018, "relative_strength": -14.16664, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.544059, "energy": 31.353838, "activity_lines": [ 9.219465, 9.107269, 9.023503, 9.059307 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.060033, "volume": 11072000, "typical_volume": 5538145.0, "trend": 9.179171, "fair_value": 7.701837, "relative_strength": -16.070002, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.680288, "energy": 24.577586, "activity_lines": [ 9.195584, 9.11247, 9.031067, 9.050746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.89, "volume": 6495900, "typical_volume": 5556875.0, "trend": 9.159944, "fair_value": 7.722629, "relative_strength": -18.134822, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.003344, "energy": 14.701667, "activity_lines": [ 9.10369, 9.081044, 9.019687, 9.032089 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }