{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9fc25516-1a1b-4f82-805e-952e8354cbb5",
    "symbol": "HUW",
    "name": "Helios Underwriting plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 75.494,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.315,
    "architecture_energy": 72.463,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.156,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.471,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.21,
        "rotation_up": 76.11,
        "upward_expansion": 94.41,
        "deceleration": 39.19,
        "rotation_down": 10.82,
        "downward_expansion": 16.41
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        222.8,
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        214.242369
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 223.0,
    "trend_reference": 211.987283,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.05195,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 190.238312,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172214,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -2.846546,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.062382,
    "excess_performance": 0.011147,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05195,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015316,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172214,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03147,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028465,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042334,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062382,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.810177,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 85072,
      "relative_activity": 0.406399,
      "balance": 1.810177,
      "dry_up": 1.345407,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.0305,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.139302,
      "from_high_reference": -0.029999,
      "from_low_reference": 0.150001
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 190.238312,
      "structural_low": 193.912807,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.008412,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.028206,
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        "worst_return": -0.144808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "worst_return": -0.271302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.15691,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.099834,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 224.0,
        "volume": 441173,
        "typical_volume": 196013.1,
        "trend": 210.377981,
        "fair_value": 189.246641,
        "relative_strength": -0.41278,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 55.982852,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 223.0,
        "volume": 385766,
        "typical_volume": 206153.6,
        "trend": 210.847778,
        "fair_value": 189.571863,
        "relative_strength": -1.813239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.390852,
        "energy": 67.280508,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 223.0,
        "volume": 214532,
        "typical_volume": 211337.95,
        "trend": 211.417531,
        "fair_value": 189.929094,
        "relative_strength": -2.784246,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.839961,
        "energy": 72.97111,
        "activity_lines": [
          221.966667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 223.0,
        "volume": 85072,
        "typical_volume": 209331.2,
        "trend": 211.987283,
        "fair_value": 190.238312,
        "relative_strength": -2.846546,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.31491,
        "energy": 72.462827,
        "activity_lines": [
          222.8,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}