{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fcc5877-9e5a-49f5-8487-cc421f526d80", "symbol": "ELECTCAST", "name": "Electrosteel Castings Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.101, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -33.849, "architecture_energy": 51.379, "architecture_maturity": 6.124, "architecture_confidence": 68.375, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.55, "rotation_up": 17.88, "upward_expansion": 18.93, "deceleration": 43.76, "rotation_down": 65.64, "downward_expansion": 60.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 72.35, 74.245636, 76.483666, 76.554731 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 71.980003, "trend_reference": 75.892666, "distance_from_trend": -0.051555, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 118.783041, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.394021, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.196176, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003737, "excess_performance": 0.039972, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.051555, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002301, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.394021, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.183447, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.101962, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160802, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003737, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.119551, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6556658, "relative_activity": 0.617993, "balance": 0.119551, "dry_up": 0.461118, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075277, "annualized_volatility": 0.416116, "from_high_reference": -0.337871, "from_low_reference": 0.196675 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 75.892666, "fair_value_reference": 118.783041, "structural_low": 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-8.41209, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.903281, "energy": 28.562661, "activity_lines": [ 74.995331, 75.917271, 77.832475, 77.151203 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.650002, "volume": 3255031, "typical_volume": 11228131.4, "trend": 75.836, "fair_value": 118.686035, "relative_strength": -11.775371, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.432046, "energy": 42.417834, "activity_lines": [ 73.185999, 74.892544, 77.092713, 76.803505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 71.980003, "volume": 6556658, "typical_volume": 10609606.5, "trend": 75.892666, "fair_value": 118.783041, "relative_strength": -10.196176, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.849001, "energy": 51.378887, "activity_lines": [ 72.35, 74.245636, 76.483666, 76.554731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }