{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fddf179-80cb-4536-aa86-16113f691570", "symbol": "TM", "name": "Toyota Motor Corporation ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.493, "architecture_energy": 25.71, "architecture_maturity": 83.674, "architecture_confidence": 69.428, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.74, "rotation_up": 31.33, "upward_expansion": 21.04, "deceleration": 46.92, "rotation_down": 19.88, "downward_expansion": 55.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 184.689333, 180.561636, 182.916143, 190.227355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 190.09, "trend_reference": 201.886, "distance_from_trend": -0.058429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 189.320295, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.004066, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.321537, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.221644, "excess_performance": -0.347269, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047636, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.004066, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001736, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163215, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005459, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.221644, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.050043, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2233740, "relative_activity": 1.004658, "balance": 1.050043, "dry_up": 0.978552, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045936, "annualized_volatility": 0.276891, "from_high_reference": -0.23628, "from_low_reference": 0.144431 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 201.886, "fair_value_reference": 189.320295, 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-21.303982, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.516786, "energy": 62.23139, "activity_lines": [ 174.525333, 177.393818, 185.970429, 195.680151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 177.61, "volume": 1942968, "typical_volume": 2149957.9, "trend": 205.203, "fair_value": 188.769777, "relative_strength": -19.394037, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.666924, "energy": 56.427698, "activity_lines": [ 175.634667, 176.853636, 184.286619, 193.810129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 177.42, "volume": 1876790, "typical_volume": 2131948.75, "trend": 203.896333, "fair_value": 188.908992, "relative_strength": -18.71726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.032649, "energy": 49.826781, "activity_lines": [ 176.503333, 176.459273, 182.893143, 192.017677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 188.99, "volume": 2649283, "typical_volume": 2199979.3, "trend": 202.933667, "fair_value": 189.100638, "relative_strength": -14.160356, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.294791, "energy": 31.195285, "activity_lines": [ 180.996667, 178.409636, 182.800238, 191.055978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 190.09, "volume": 2233740, "typical_volume": 2223382.65, "trend": 201.886, "fair_value": 189.320295, "relative_strength": -16.321537, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.492668, "energy": 25.709777, "activity_lines": [ 184.689333, 180.561636, 182.916143, 190.227355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }