{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fee95e6-e9f8-4480-adb0-6bd28d768aae", "symbol": "688007", "name": "Appotronics Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.741, "architecture_energy": 79.949, "architecture_maturity": 68.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.016, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 10.67, "upward_expansion": 19.09, "deceleration": 38.82, "rotation_down": 73.88, "downward_expansion": 92.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.608667, 11.296182, 12.492667, 13.267763 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.81, "trend_reference": 14.526, "distance_from_trend": -0.255817, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.604574, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.385955, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.622653, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.374421, "excess_performance": -0.331218, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.255817, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.118318, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.385955, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248954, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336227, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.197857, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.374421, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.54284, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26521479, "relative_activity": 0.924973, "balance": 0.54284, "dry_up": 1.301573, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115705, "annualized_volatility": 0.414837, "from_high_reference": -0.572727, "from_low_reference": 0.096349 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.526, "fair_value_reference": 17.604574, "structural_low": 9.86, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": 0.004809, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.209321, "worst_return": -0.208643, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.049787, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.053361, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.553447, "worst_return": -0.371236, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.201342, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.043407, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.330013, "worst_return": -0.23588, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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17.809828, "relative_strength": -30.325679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.368196, "energy": 77.678319, "activity_lines": [ 11.933333, 12.561091, 13.44, 14.174495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.97, "volume": 39058771, "typical_volume": 28835287.15, "trend": 15.072333, "fair_value": 17.737572, "relative_strength": -37.63575, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.066661, "energy": 83.030829, "activity_lines": [ 11.172, 11.976545, 13.060905, 13.830796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.32, "volume": 29909672, "typical_volume": 28866222.75, "trend": 14.784667, "fair_value": 17.66826, "relative_strength": -35.307794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.468273, "energy": 86.720774, "activity_lines": [ 10.743333, 11.544727, 12.741381, 13.524194 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.81, "volume": 26521479, "typical_volume": 28672715.7, "trend": 14.526, "fair_value": 17.604574, "relative_strength": -33.622653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.741431, "energy": 79.948702, "activity_lines": [ 10.608667, 11.296182, 12.492667, 13.267763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }