{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fef88dc-9283-4fe2-b3c9-36032b56985b", "symbol": "SEAF", "name": "Seafire AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.442, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 33.392, "architecture_energy": 50.252, "architecture_maturity": 6.383, "architecture_confidence": 59.797, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.34, "rotation_up": 62.28, "upward_expansion": 54.8, "deceleration": 28.39, "rotation_down": 16.87, "downward_expansion": 17.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.822667, 7.514545, 7.351996, 7.33241 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.92, "trend_reference": 7.508639, "distance_from_trend": 0.054785, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.525572, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.213687, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.877807, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.131429, "excess_performance": 0.069934, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054785, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009501, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.213687, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.157957, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018778, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04355, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.131429, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.714548, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 195886, "relative_activity": 1.055942, "balance": 1.714548, "dry_up": 1.411743, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077312, "annualized_volatility": 0.559089, "from_high_reference": -0.245714, "from_low_reference": 0.44 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.508639, "fair_value_reference": 6.525572, "structural_low": 5.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.125926, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.089015, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125926, "worst_return": 0.125926, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.222222, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.161477, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": 0.222222, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.848148, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.654804, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.848148, "worst_return": 0.848148, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.322222, "positive_rate": 1.0, 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7.519306, "fair_value": 6.606661, "relative_strength": 4.488628, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.899522, "energy": 10.943723, "activity_lines": [ 7.426667, 7.276364, 7.191893, 7.278084 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.98, "volume": 154126, "typical_volume": 177178.1, "trend": 7.538639, "fair_value": 6.565187, "relative_strength": 0.724342, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 23.905011, "energy": 33.08613, "activity_lines": [ 7.676, 7.402545, 7.27523, 7.307806 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.92, "volume": 195886, "typical_volume": 185508.3, "trend": 7.508639, "fair_value": 6.525572, "relative_strength": -1.877807, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.392225, "energy": 50.25152, "activity_lines": [ 7.822667, 7.514545, 7.351996, 7.33241 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }