{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9ff1efba-2dc1-4928-8369-2a7e3b69befb",
    "symbol": "6050",
    "name": "Saudi Fisheries Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 55.681,
    "architecture_energy": 40.033,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.424,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.573,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.71,
        "rotation_up": 42.04,
        "upward_expansion": 70.43,
        "deceleration": 74.28,
        "rotation_down": 24.74,
        "downward_expansion": 10.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        62.010001,
        61.931637,
        54.632953,
        52.078065
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 58.900002,
    "trend_reference": 51.435667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.14512,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 110.815765,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.468487,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.914809,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.018333,
    "excess_performance": 0.013496,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14512,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075114,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.468487,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186229,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069148,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.372201,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018333,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.588283,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2606749,
      "relative_activity": 1.224828,
      "balance": 0.588283,
      "dry_up": 1.585056,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.146846,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.761003,
      "from_high_reference": -0.398673,
      "from_low_reference": 0.543501
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.435667,
      "fair_value_reference": 110.815765,
      "structural_low": 38.16,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.090503,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.095903,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.053827,
        "worst_return": -0.144804,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.193786,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.156959,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.150093,
        "worst_return": -0.237479,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.279971,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.257066,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.183646,
        "worst_return": -0.376296,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.419152,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.354152,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.419152,
        "worst_return": -0.419152,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.027257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.109818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.072255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.046552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.218698,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-04",
        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.091248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-01",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.092547,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.143255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.233884,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.067245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.512172,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.009251,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-04",
        "close": 177.649582,
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        "typical_volume": 109801.8,
        "trend": 172.464398,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-11",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1817226.05,
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        "fair_value": 113.21376,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.46809,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 62.650002,
        "volume": 3360500,
        "typical_volume": 1938407.35,
        "trend": 51.342333,
        "fair_value": 112.396198,
        "relative_strength": -2.24124,
        "stage": 1,
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 38.066168,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.599998,
        "volume": 2399840,
        "typical_volume": 2009344.25,
        "trend": 51.384,
        "fair_value": 111.609516,
        "relative_strength": -2.781188,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.703964,
        "energy": 56.696829,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.06,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.900002,
        "volume": 2606749,
        "typical_volume": 2128256.4,
        "trend": 51.435667,
        "fair_value": 110.815765,
        "relative_strength": -6.914809,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.680509,
        "energy": 40.033229,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}