{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9fff3796-2148-44fa-8c5a-ce3c3afd7731", "symbol": "SXI", "name": "Standex International Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.234, "architecture_energy": 35.492, "architecture_maturity": 55.245, "architecture_confidence": 94.841, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.89, "rotation_up": 39.7, "upward_expansion": 63.12, "deceleration": 87.71, "rotation_down": 24.96, "downward_expansion": 15.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 314.370407, 315.351181, 300.541538, 289.410132 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 340.12, "trend_reference": 275.67885, "distance_from_trend": 0.233754, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 194.319508, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.750313, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.23157, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.341281, "excess_performance": 0.215656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.233754, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107675, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.750313, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.30522, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.202316, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.129703, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.341281, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.451188, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 797285, "relative_activity": 0.851079, "balance": 1.451188, "dry_up": 0.800866, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083935, "annualized_volatility": 0.349502, "from_high_reference": -0.064388, "from_low_reference": 0.844429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 275.67885, "fair_value_reference": 194.319508, "structural_low": 230.709941, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.010526, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": 0.020911, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.185483, "worst_return": -0.137757, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.060913, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.052619, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.111087, "worst_return": -0.262188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.04659, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.007382, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.487919, "worst_return": -0.180399, "sufficient": true }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.084036, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.094117, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.130297, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.006918, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074496, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 303.982125, 309.34874, 295.117255, 285.030107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 340.12, "volume": 797285, "typical_volume": 936793.15, "trend": 275.67885, "fair_value": 194.319508, "relative_strength": 20.23157, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.233624, "energy": 35.491931, "activity_lines": [ 314.370407, 315.351181, 300.541538, 289.410132 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }