{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0124a25-51c6-44c4-b9e9-c819f8766cd3", "symbol": "SKIPPER", "name": "Skipper Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.671, "architecture_energy": 27.428, "architecture_maturity": 62.691, "architecture_confidence": 88.488, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.21, "rotation_up": 27.3, "upward_expansion": 57.47, "deceleration": 90.43, "rotation_down": 27.54, "downward_expansion": 21.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 527.353329, 536.203637, 520.334762, 488.24871 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 517.849976, "trend_reference": 447.581667, "distance_from_trend": 0.156996, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 411.200723, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.259361, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.465579, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.339152, "excess_performance": 0.382861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.156996, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067569, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.259361, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030865, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.114656, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060967, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.339152, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.459807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2667431, "relative_activity": 0.937473, "balance": 0.459807, "dry_up": 0.983981, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082308, "annualized_volatility": 0.38212, "from_high_reference": -0.126729, "from_low_reference": 0.583397 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 447.581667, "fair_value_reference": 411.200723, "structural_low": 327.049988, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.003064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014003, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.853553, "worst_return": -0.092025, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.084261, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.00885, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.455851, "worst_return": -0.064431, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.446087, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.273558, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.810481, "worst_return": -0.103388, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 528.650024, "volume": 1850766, "typical_volume": 2815808.75, "trend": 441.448335, "fair_value": 406.610244, "relative_strength": 17.762409, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.740644, "energy": 44.182081, "activity_lines": [ 541.400008, 542.816368, 511.60024, 477.912798 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 527.75, "volume": 2820739, "typical_volume": 2780076.25, "trend": 443.945001, "fair_value": 408.940187, "relative_strength": 14.517534, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.961629, "energy": 35.974282, "activity_lines": [ 535.846671, 541.025459, 516.87024, 483.480647 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 517.849976, "volume": 2667431, "typical_volume": 2845341.35, "trend": 447.581667, "fair_value": 411.200723, "relative_strength": 11.465579, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.670974, "energy": 27.427944, "activity_lines": [ 527.353329, 536.203637, 520.334762, 488.24871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }