{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a02ca212-0256-46b1-8c10-5f4f476f3037", "symbol": "ALOT", "name": "AstroNova Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.489, "architecture_energy": 69.69, "architecture_maturity": 88.837, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.69, "rotation_up": 63.64, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 59.21, "rotation_down": 29.25, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.826, 28.030182, 23.412238, 20.029548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 28.94, "trend_reference": 16.062333, "distance_from_trend": 0.801731, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.582151, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.130738, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 96.740412, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 2.046316, "excess_performance": 1.858862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.801731, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.584499, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.130738, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.001764, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.967404, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.752268, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 2.046316, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.488428, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 408188, "relative_activity": 0.734461, "balance": 4.488428, "dry_up": 1.025056, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059674, "annualized_volatility": 0.869836, "from_high_reference": -0.001725, "from_low_reference": 3.158046 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.062333, "fair_value_reference": 13.582151, "structural_low": 8.29, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.002174, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.005139, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.967564, "worst_return": -0.242188, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.002985, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.086832, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.464996, "worst_return": -0.334501, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.135069, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.278819, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.067618, "worst_return": -0.204904, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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77.529658, "energy": 92.130078, "activity_lines": [ 27.744, 23.490545, 18.910952, 16.309774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.62, "volume": 497925, "typical_volume": 480667.35, "trend": 14.052833, "fair_value": 13.302847, "relative_strength": 115.198324, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.909399, "energy": 89.804542, "activity_lines": [ 28.548, 24.982545, 20.160143, 17.293699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 28.71, "volume": 791052, "typical_volume": 516808.9, "trend": 14.7365, "fair_value": 13.392472, "relative_strength": 114.665861, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.368152, "energy": 89.893738, "activity_lines": [ 28.605333, 26.234545, 21.324857, 18.239323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.95, "volume": 581597, "typical_volume": 540151.45, "trend": 15.405, "fair_value": 13.489779, "relative_strength": 110.808219, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.861476, "energy": 87.210503, "activity_lines": [ 28.733333, 27.267091, 22.417429, 19.156323 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.94, "volume": 408188, "typical_volume": 555765.4, "trend": 16.062333, "fair_value": 13.582151, "relative_strength": 96.740412, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.488647, "energy": 69.689602, "activity_lines": [ 28.826, 28.030182, 23.412238, 20.029548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }