{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a033c54e-b697-4746-8394-064e69d87eb0", "symbol": "AUDC", "name": "AudioCodes Ltd.", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.164, "architecture_energy": 63.263, "architecture_maturity": 70.359, "architecture_confidence": 70.013, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.5, "rotation_up": 27.93, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 59.94, "rotation_down": 49.81, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.204, 28.876909, 697.317762, 1171.619443 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 29.75, "trend_reference": 1699.328314, "distance_from_trend": -0.982493, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3312.308395, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.991018, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.85386, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.987142, "excess_performance": -1.016043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.982493, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.359705, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.991018, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.679712, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.988539, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.605339, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.987142, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.922423, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 252692, "relative_activity": 1.788109, "balance": 1.922423, "dry_up": 0.950587, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 8.502392, "annualized_volatility": 6.304123, "from_high_reference": -0.991398, "from_low_reference": 0.133333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1699.328314, "fair_value_reference": 3312.308395, "structural_low": 26.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.005147, "positive_rate": 0.435897, "directional_follow_through": 0.564103, "median_excess_return": -0.022725, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.162533, "worst_return": -0.284603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.096906, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.166033, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.284291, "worst_return": -0.988257, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.138611, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.249171, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.006444, "worst_return": -0.348896, 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0.077549, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.073021, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.024568, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.032468, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.100935, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.042004, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": 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"trend": 1885.004029, "fair_value": 3365.597527, "relative_strength": -98.972046, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.699692, "energy": 67.371603, "activity_lines": [ 29.154667, 169.597273, 980.257381, 1405.116368 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.48, "volume": 89110, "typical_volume": 137641.1, "trend": 1792.428314, "fair_value": 3339.480774, "relative_strength": -98.935113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.480259, "energy": 66.751029, "activity_lines": [ 29.016667, 77.289636, 832.766333, 1285.340624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.75, "volume": 252692, "typical_volume": 141318.0, "trend": 1699.328314, "fair_value": 3312.308395, "relative_strength": -98.85386, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.163638, "energy": 63.26347, "activity_lines": [ 29.204, 28.876909, 697.317762, 1171.619443 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }