{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a03cb98b-c207-4242-bf36-0ac3a34ef890", "symbol": "AUB", "name": "AUB Group Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 93.647, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.208, "architecture_energy": 47.604, "architecture_maturity": 25.41, "architecture_confidence": 68.081, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.2, "rotation_up": 55.33, "upward_expansion": 79.74, "deceleration": 65.18, "rotation_down": 22.02, "downward_expansion": 6.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.524, 28.384, 27.361095, 26.678943 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 29.35, "trend_reference": 26.458611, "distance_from_trend": 0.10928, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 29.272678, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002641, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.64784, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.064383, "excess_performance": 0.000677, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.10928, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061605, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002641, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.177241, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.046478, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.17333, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.064383, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.598171, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1700082, "relative_activity": 1.030331, "balance": 2.598171, "dry_up": 0.990637, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053492, "annualized_volatility": 0.333899, "from_high_reference": -0.263018, "from_low_reference": 0.329257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.458611, "fair_value_reference": 29.272678, "structural_low": 22.08, 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"regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.767029, "energy": 66.483124, "activity_lines": [ 28.310666, 27.483091, 26.3338, 26.193742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 29.129999, "volume": 1162125, "typical_volume": 1900030.95, "trend": 26.668858, "fair_value": 29.227236, "relative_strength": -1.379718, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.486214, "energy": 63.736636, "activity_lines": [ 28.576666, 27.937272, 26.679939, 26.349747 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.65, "volume": 1360665, "typical_volume": 1759027.6, "trend": 26.583705, "fair_value": 29.237335, "relative_strength": -5.808297, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 35.122441, "energy": 38.750548, "activity_lines": [ 28.302, 28.029636, 26.865714, 26.413046 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.860001, "volume": 2315468, "typical_volume": 1759096.2, "trend": 26.504893, "fair_value": 29.253755, "relative_strength": -6.878324, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.754112, "energy": 33.121277, "activity_lines": [ 28.152, 28.1, 27.053381, 26.495388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.35, "volume": 1700082, "typical_volume": 1650034.4, "trend": 26.458611, "fair_value": 29.272678, "relative_strength": -4.64784, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.208356, "energy": 47.603711, "activity_lines": [ 28.524, 28.384, 27.361095, 26.678943 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }