{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a03cdaef-84cf-40f3-bb1f-3f765997f87f", "symbol": "AGM-A", "name": "Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.262, "architecture_energy": 77.251, "architecture_maturity": 45.818, "architecture_confidence": 65.319, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.33, "rotation_up": 84.56, "upward_expansion": 88.22, "deceleration": 52.98, "rotation_down": 9.93, "downward_expansion": 12.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 155.075333, 150.112966, 143.610576, 138.619374 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 166.03, "trend_reference": 133.065735, "distance_from_trend": 0.247729, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 131.416712, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.263386, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.562051, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.339412, "excess_performance": 0.213788, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.247729, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049585, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.263386, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224455, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.135621, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20007, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.339412, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.546913, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3595, "relative_activity": 1.060738, "balance": 1.546913, "dry_up": 2.125164, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038607, "annualized_volatility": 0.319043, "from_high_reference": -0.056648, "from_low_reference": 0.469179 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 133.065735, "fair_value_reference": 131.416712, "structural_low": 113.685714, 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131.792039 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 146.05, "volume": 5477, "typical_volume": 3193.45, "trend": 129.897483, "fair_value": 130.572896, "relative_strength": 2.520017, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.35561, "energy": 90.744273, "activity_lines": [ 143.954667, 141.120891, 136.027071, 132.851212 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 144.5, "volume": 18673, "typical_volume": 3858.0, "trend": 130.466741, "fair_value": 130.764069, "relative_strength": 3.122277, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.618765, "energy": 67.917467, "activity_lines": [ 144.516667, 142.147657, 137.251071, 133.79331 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 147.95, "volume": 2683, "typical_volume": 3727.45, "trend": 131.084627, "fair_value": 130.965706, "relative_strength": 6.172497, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.615674, "energy": 78.041377, "activity_lines": [ 145.822, 143.60631, 138.698849, 134.921262 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 154.27, "volume": 3859, "typical_volume": 3778.6, "trend": 131.894635, "fair_value": 131.185404, "relative_strength": 9.421114, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.311138, "energy": 74.049684, "activity_lines": [ 148.837333, 145.988742, 140.662215, 136.417092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 166.03, "volume": 3595, "typical_volume": 3389.15, "trend": 133.065735, "fair_value": 131.416712, "relative_strength": 13.562051, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.261959, "energy": 77.251076, "activity_lines": [ 155.075333, 150.112966, 143.610576, 138.619374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }