{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0428983-93f4-4d6b-a520-ceb39961c3ad", "symbol": "002059", "name": "Yunnan Tourism Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.344, "architecture_energy": 34.078, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.388, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.78, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 16.55, "deceleration": 46.8, "rotation_down": 36.12, "downward_expansion": 64.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.358667, 4.335636, 4.451, 4.606817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.44, "trend_reference": 4.84, "distance_from_trend": -0.082645, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.308718, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.071097, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.202873, "excess_performance": -0.210272, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082645, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074157, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04412, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170711, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097405, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.202873, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.49198, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40619496, "relative_activity": 0.911634, "balance": 0.49198, "dry_up": 0.963763, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055094, "annualized_volatility": 0.220015, "from_high_reference": -0.451174, "from_low_reference": 0.07767 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.84, "fair_value_reference": 5.308718, "structural_low": 4.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.005859, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": -0.009363, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.234694, "worst_return": -0.112745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.05303, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.005592, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.340816, "worst_return": -0.127971, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.195929, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.036197, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.258681, "worst_return": -0.186007, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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}, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.44, "volume": 51031601, "typical_volume": 45081795.35, "trend": 4.871333, "fair_value": 5.320641, "relative_strength": -13.293536, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.204907, "energy": 45.281036, "activity_lines": [ 4.317333, 4.322, 4.469143, 4.634645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.44, "volume": 40619496, "typical_volume": 44556792.15, "trend": 4.84, "fair_value": 5.308718, "relative_strength": -17.071097, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.344162, "energy": 34.078209, "activity_lines": [ 4.358667, 4.335636, 4.451, 4.606817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }