{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a04c198e-398c-454e-a1eb-a517deaf4eef", "symbol": "SRT", "name": "Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 48.058, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 12.814, "architecture_energy": 8.726, "architecture_maturity": 42.252, "architecture_confidence": 59.276, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.74, "rotation_up": 32.72, "upward_expansion": 31.66, "deceleration": 55.66, "rotation_down": 37.98, "downward_expansion": 26.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 184.16, 185.152727, 183.611428, 181.790681 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 190.0, "trend_reference": 181.95966, "distance_from_trend": 0.044187, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 198.852144, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.044516, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.630531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.021543, "excess_performance": -0.043097, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044187, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.044516, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113996, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026305, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002329, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.021543, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.750447, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10774, "relative_activity": 0.846723, "balance": 1.750447, "dry_up": 1.355983, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072834, "annualized_volatility": 0.3923, "from_high_reference": -0.082576, "from_low_reference": 0.278983 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 181.95966, "fair_value_reference": 198.852144, "structural_low": 157.516639, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": -0.029993, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.35, "median_excess_return": -0.032062, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.26781, "worst_return": -0.191033, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.131055, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.160191, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.078438, "worst_return": -0.299827, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.09863, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.221163, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": -0.039861, "worst_return": -0.227551, "sufficient": 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after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.365008, "energy": 22.020967, "activity_lines": [ 188.333334, 186.61091, 181.789885, 181.589737 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 193.399994, "volume": 14358, "typical_volume": 14215.85, "trend": 183.269079, "fair_value": 200.981406, "relative_strength": 5.604711, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.808663, "energy": 33.135102, "activity_lines": [ 190.773332, 188.341818, 183.200407, 182.260558 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 174.0, "volume": 23819, "typical_volume": 14796.95, "trend": 182.783016, "fair_value": 200.201472, "relative_strength": -6.097899, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.73987, "energy": 9.3648, "activity_lines": [ 185.959999, 186.181818, 182.749851, 181.662553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 177.0, "volume": 20065, "typical_volume": 13442.8, "trend": 182.231007, "fair_value": 199.462955, "relative_strength": -6.588385, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.873461, "energy": 4.096285, "activity_lines": [ 182.653333, 184.4, 182.59186, 181.289455 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 190.0, "volume": 10774, "typical_volume": 12724.35, "trend": 181.95966, "fair_value": 198.852144, "relative_strength": -2.630531, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.813954, "energy": 8.726493, "activity_lines": [ 184.16, 185.152727, 183.611428, 181.790681 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }